Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was MacKenzie Weegar's goal at 3:57 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were CBJ 46, FLA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (44 saves, .957), 2. Alexander Wennberg (3 G), 3. MacKenzie Weegar (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Bobrovsky44 saves, .957

- ★★A. Wennberg3 G

- ★★★M. Weegar1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
0-13:57
0-24:49
0-38:47
3rd period
1-32:46
1-410:54
2-418:15
2-519:53
Penalties
1st
- 2:24
Liam Foudy · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
- 15:20
Jonathan Huberdeau · Holdingdrawn by Zac Dalpe2 min
- 19:17
Michael Del Zotto · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
3rd
- 8:33
Max Domi · Cross checkingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
- 13:58
Alexandre Texier · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: MacKenzie Weegar, 2nd 3:57 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.02 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.6
- 2.72 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.2
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 46
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 31
- Hits
- 19
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 6
- Giveaways
- 14
- 15
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
FLA leads 7-1
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
