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Blackhawks at Red Wings
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV BSDET, NBCSCH·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 8:55 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 51% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 25, DET 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Stecher (2 G), 2. Jakub Vrana (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    T. Stecher2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Vrana1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Greiss24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI13011011125
DETDET07311110428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    14:47

2nd period

  1. DET
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:49
  2. DET
    snapxG 0.22win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    8:55
  3. DET
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    11:15

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Erne (7), M. Staal (6)
    wristxG 0.80win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:34

Penalties

CHI 2 PIM·DET 6 PIM

2nd

  • 2:53CHIRiley Stillman · High stickingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 4:32DETFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by David Kampf2 min
  • 6:48DETserved by J. Vrana · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:58DETserved by R. Panik · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCHI goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 2nd 8:55 — DET 51% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.79T. Stecher · Goal · xG 0.27J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.22J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.21J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.17V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.13V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.12F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.11L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.10L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.09D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.09D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · Goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01
DET4 G · 3.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsDET
2.21 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI43%57%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsDET
25
Shots on goal
28
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
19
6
Blocked shots
24
4
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16N. ZadorovD000010.15100—21:24
88P. KaneR000-410.05000—21:11
5C. MurphyD000-210.01120—20:48
12A. DeBrincatR011-200.15000—20:33
2D. KeithD101-120.14000—20:24
77K. DachC000000.240103619:16
48W. KalynukD000-240.26110—19:16
17D. StromeC011000.00000016:58
8D. KubalikL000-140.25110—16:13
61R. StillmanD000030.10202—15:54
24P. SuterC000-110.100003615:34
23P. KurashevC000020.340006015:14
38B. HagelL000-110.01100—15:07
51I. MitchellD000-100.00010—14:52
28V. HinostrozaC000010.14200012:05
20B. ConnollyR000010.01000—11:40
64D. KampfC000020.210006311:05
22R. CarpenterC000010.01000010:44
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)27243.8892.49-0.5159:42

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).