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Blackhawks at Red Wings
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings

Final/OTTV ESPN+, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Dominik Kubalik scoring at 4:43. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominik Kubalik's goal at 4:43 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.1, DET 2.1; shots on goal were CHI 24, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Thomas Greiss stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (2 G), 2. Mattias Janmark (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (21 saves, .875).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik2 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    M. Janmark1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Greiss21 saves, .875

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI260110314324
DETDET113061901229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:19
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:09
  3. DET
    snapxG 0.25win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:45

3rd period

  1. DET
    wristxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    5:49

Overtime

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:43

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:38DETPatrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 12:18CHIDuncan Keith · Hookingdrawn by Mathias Brome2 min

2nd

  • 14:46DETValtteri Filppula · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 18:43DETRobby Fabbri · Delaying game face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 2:42CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCHI goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Dominik Kubalik, OT 4:43 — CHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.25R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.16R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.14F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.14F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.11B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.09A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.06F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.06C. Djoos · Goal · xG 0.06P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.05M. Brome · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.04B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04M. Brome · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Brome · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.00A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.00P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.00A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00M. Brome · On goal · xG 0.00F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 2.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsDET
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI49%51%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsDET
24
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
11
9
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR000-150.19002—23:34
2D. KeithD000-100.00102—23:33
12A. DeBrincatR000-100.06000—23:21
16N. ZadorovD011+100.01010—20:46
51I. MitchellD000-100.00020—20:01
44C. de HaanD000020.03110—19:35
74N. BeaudinD011+210.01010—19:00
34C. SoderbergC011+220.130003318:26
24P. SuterC011030.181005017:19
13M. JanmarkC101+130.19000016:54
8D. KubalikL202+140.44010—15:49
46L. CarlssonD000000.00000—15:32
64D. KampfC000000.001004515:07
23P. KurashevC000+100.0200010014:45
17D. StromeC000-120.540006314:40
38B. HagelL011020.22100—13:13
71L. WallmarkC000000.00020011:13
52R. JohnsonC000000.05510007:21
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(W)29272.9312.14+0.1464:43

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).