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Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV BSW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 3:23 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.3, SJS 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 26, SJS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Martin Jones stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Carter (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andreas Athanasiou (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dustin Brown (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Carter1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Athanasiou1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1631307426
SJSSJS11204112228

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:43
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:54

2nd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:28
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    3:23
  3. LAK
    D. Brown(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    19:52

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(8)PPG
    T. Hertl (14), R. Donato (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    12:31

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·SJS 10 PIM

1st

  • 9:05LAKJeff Carter · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 14:15LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

2nd

  • 6:23LAKSean Walker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:03LAKAnze Kopitar · Trippingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min
  • 11:58SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 14:01SJSEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 17:59SJSBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

3rd

  • 5:38SJSJeffrey Viel · Trippingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 12:17LAKOlli Maatta · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min
  • 17:30SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Christian Wolanin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalLAK goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 3:23 — LAK 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.22D. Gambrell · Goal · xG 0.18T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.15T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.08B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.05K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04R. Balcers · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.03R. Balcers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSJS
2.34 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK52%48%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSJS
26
Shots on goal
28
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
30
21
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+110.05220—26:22
19A. IafalloL101+120.32020—21:31
26S. WalkerD000020.05122—21:25
11A. KopitarC011+130.170126720:55
44M. AndersonD011+110.02140—20:17
6O. MaattaD011000.02132—19:10
23D. BrownR112+110.10302—17:49
9A. KempeR000-120.28210—16:44
28J. Anderson-DolanC000-110.016001016:32
12T. MooreL000010.25210—14:19
77J. CarterC112+220.101026713:40
46B. LizotteC000+200.041206013:36
22A. AthanasiouC112+170.67000013:31
58K. ClagueD000+100.00100—13:03
13G. VilardiC000000.000103312:18
21C. WolaninD000+100.00010—12:05
27A. WagnerL000020.16200—09:48
48B. LemieuxL000010.08310—08:41
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)28262.9292.31+0.3160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).