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San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, NBCSCA·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the San Jose Sharks 6-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaret Anderson-Dolan's goal at 4:51 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 78% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were SJS 31, LAK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.5 goals below expected; Cal Petersen stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carl Grundstrom (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jaret Anderson-Dolan (1 G, 1 A), 3. Drew Doughty (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    C. Grundstrom1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Anderson-Dolan1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11017014231
LAKLAK37012312631

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    2:47
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    9:25
  3. LAK
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:42
  4. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    16:25

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    17:49

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    4:51
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    5:58
  3. LAK
    J. Carter(2)PPG
    slapxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    6:56

Penalties

SJS 14 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:08SJSBrent Burns · Holdingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
  • 3:29SJSRyan Donato · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 3:29LAKAdrian Kempe · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 10:34LAKAustin Wagner · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

2nd

  • 8:44SJSMario Ferraro · Interferencedrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 15:44SJSserved by R. Donato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:37LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min

3rd

  • 5:50SJSEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min
  • 5:58SJSBrent Burns · High stickingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 5:58SJSserved by T. Meier · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalSJS goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Jaret Anderson-Dolan, 3rd 4:51 — LAK 78% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.20A. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.19C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.17J. Anderson-Dolan · Goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.12D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.07A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.06O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.06A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.03D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.02A. Strand · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.02M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Strand · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Clague · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.00A. Strand · On goal · xG 0.00O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK6 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsLAK
3.12 G
All situations
6 G2.6
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.81 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS59%41%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
31
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/2
Power play
3/6
14
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
15
5
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011-140.21000—23:18
38M. FerraroD000-200.06002—20:51
88B. BurnsD000010.11004—20:16
51R. SimekD000010.02300—19:39
44M. VlasicD011-120.04000—18:20
48T. HertlC202040.352205817:37
62K. LabancR000-120.26200—17:36
39L. CoutureC011030.783106317:27
9E. KaneL000-120.4310210016:57
71N. KnyzhovD011+110.03100—16:09
7D. GambrellC000000.001005015:48
83M. NietoL000000.00100—14:35
16R. DonatoC000020.05312014:14
28T. MeierR000050.28300—13:41
12P. MarleauC000-320.470006713:10
20M. SorensenL000000.0001010012:49
43J. LeonardL000-120.03100—09:27
73N. GregorL000-100.02200—08:21
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)26206.7692.49-3.5150:49
1A. Melnichuk5501.0000.09+0.0909:11

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).