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Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Bunting's goal at 4:11 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 61% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were ARI 33, LAK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Bunting (3 G), 2. Drew Doughty (1 G), 3. Adin Hill (36 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    M. Bunting3 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    A. Hill36 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI31011419533
LAKLAK11109118238

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:43
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    4:11
  3. ARI
    slapxG 0.17win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    7:28
  4. LAK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    16:07

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.39win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    8:48

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    2:10
  2. ARI
    C. Dvorak(12)EN
    wristxG 0.29
    5-2
    19:26

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·LAK 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:21LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 5:19ARIChristian Dvorak · Cross checkingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 6:57LAKJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 10:09LAKKurtis MacDermid · Roughingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 13:29LAKSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 14:45ARIConor Garland · High stickingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

2nd

  • 8:00LAKMikey Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 8:48LAKserved by A. Wagner · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 9:40ARIJordan Gross · Slashingdrawn by Jaret Anderson-Dolan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalARI goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Bunting, 1st 4:11 — ARI 61% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.24D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.22D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.14C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.13J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.11A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson-Dolan · Missed · xG 0.07D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.04A. Strand · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02K. Clague · Missed · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Strand · On goal · xG 0.00A. Strand · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK2 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsLAK
3.74 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.91 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.53 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI62%38%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsLAK
33
Shots on goal
38
40%
Faceoffs
60%
3/6
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
13
2
Giveaways
8
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD022+110.02210—23:48
55J. DemersD011020.10100—22:26
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+210.14300—21:07
6J. ChychrunD022-140.18000—20:32
18C. DvorakC101020.380223819:30
58M. BuntingL303+160.97000—17:38
83C. GarlandR022+120.170023317:34
8N. SchmaltzC000+130.340003817:01
67L. CrouseL000040.62200—16:58
46I. LyubushkinD000+110.06330—16:04
22J. LarssonL011+100.062103614:47
81P. KesselR000-130.28000—14:25
36C. FischerR000+110.10100—14:05
79J. GrossD000-100.00022—13:49
9C. KellerR000-110.06000—13:09
16D. BrassardC101020.261006011:31
15J. HaydenC000000.00210010:38
91D. CaggiulaL000000.00300—09:39
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Hill(W)38362.9472.74+0.7459:57

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).