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Los Angeles Kings at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-W·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 12:52 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.1, ARI 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 23, ARI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Darcy Kuemper stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Iafallo (2 G), 2. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Drew Doughty (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Iafallo2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    P. Kessel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK061839423
ARIARI091916224

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    4:37
  2. ARI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    11:48

3rd period

  1. LAK
    T. Moore(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    0:52
  2. ARI
    P. Kessel(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    9:41
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:52
  4. LAK
    wristxG 0.49win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:47

Penalties

LAK 8 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:56ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Carl Grundstrom2 min
  • 9:59LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 18:11LAKDrew Doughty · Cross checkingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 19:59LAKAustin Strand · Cross checkingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

3rd

  • 0:52ARIserved by J. Hayden · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 4:08ARIserved by P. Kessel · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:02LAKTrevor Moore · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalLAK goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 3rd 12:52 — LAK 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.27J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.10C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hayden · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsARI
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.11 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK40%60%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsARI
23
Shots on goal
24
64%
Faceoffs
36%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
32
20
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000+100.00220—23:34
8D. DoughtyD022+240.19424—23:01
11A. KopitarC022+100.061206522:35
44M. AndersonD011+100.01210—22:09
19A. IafalloL202+120.58000—20:01
33T. BjornfotD000000.00250—19:14
23D. BrownR000+110.20200—17:15
6O. MaattaD000+210.01120—16:52
9A. KempeR011+100.00210—15:15
77J. CarterC011+130.1800010014:15
12T. MooreL101+140.16002—14:12
46B. LizotteC000+110.011205013:46
91C. GrundstromR000010.07410—12:48
71A. StrandD000010.01112—12:07
13G. VilardiC101+120.130006012:03
22A. AthanasiouC000010.07000011:34
27A. WagnerL000000.00410—11:11
10M. AmadioR000020.370007110:40
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Petersen(W)24222.9172.05+0.0560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).