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Hurricanes at Blackhawks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
3
FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Fast's goal at 19:31 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 31, CHI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. James Reimer stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Fast (1 G, 1 A), 2. Warren Foegele (2 G), 3. Dominik Kubalik (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Fast1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11318210431
CHICHI03111211325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(14)
    D. Hamilton (25), J. Fast (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:48

2nd period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(7)
    J. Staal (15), D. Hamilton (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:22
  2. CHI
    D. Kubalik(12)
    W. Kalynuk (1), C. de Haan (7)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:21

3rd period

  1. CHI
    B. Hagel(5)
    K. Dach (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    5:46
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(8)
    N. Niederreiter (9), J. Staal (16)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:54
  3. CHI
    D. Strome(7)
    C. Murphy (9), M. Janmark (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +32 pts
    3-3
    10:24
  4. CAR
    J. Fast(5)
    V. Trocheck (13), B. Pesce (15)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +48 pts
    4-3
    19:31

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:49CHIAlex DeBrincat · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

2nd

  • 4:28CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 9:15CARDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Adam Boqvist2 min

3rd

  • 11:52CARDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCAR goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Fast, 3rd 19:31 — CAR 49% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.19K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.18D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.14P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.13C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.09P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.07P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kalynuk · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.1 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCHI
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.44 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR58%42%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCHI
31
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
33
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD011010.01000—25:16
74J. SlavinD000+330.03130—24:37
76B. SkjeiD000-110.05100—21:42
19D. HamiltonD022+340.12014—21:25
11J. StaalC022+220.286005717:42
20S. AhoC000030.212005617:20
88M. NecasC000-140.3800010017:15
16V. TrocheckC112+120.242104816:26
23B. McGinnL000-120.26100—16:10
21N. NiederreiterR011+210.09100—16:00
13W. FoegeleL202+230.29300—15:58
37A. SvechnikovR000+100.00300—15:10
71J. FastR112+130.405106714:58
24J. BeanD000-110.08110—13:12
4H. FleuryD000-200.00230—12:56
48J. MartinookL000-110.07242—10:57
78S. LorentzC000-100.002004009:06
18C. PaquetteC000-200.00100007:50
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)25223.8802.08-0.9260:00

Season series

CAR leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).