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Blackhawks at Hurricanes
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV NHLN, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ian Mitchell's goal at 19:49 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 25% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were CHI 29, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 33 of 37 (.892); James Reimer stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jaccob Slavin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Niederreiter2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI09210110329
CARCAR17115316538

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:22

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:03
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:39
  3. CHI
    D. Kampf (3), P. Kane (17)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:49

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(2)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    2:28
  2. CAR
    J. Fast (3), M. Necas (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    2-4
    15:04
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.42win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:46
  4. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.12
    3-5
    19:09

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:01CARBrady Skjei · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 10:13CARMartin Necas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:04CHIIan Mitchell · Interferencedrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

3rd

  • 2:14CHIDylan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 7:42CHINikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 8:38CARJordan Staal · Holdingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 13:36CHIAdam Boqvist · Trippingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 19:00CARJesper Fast · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Ian Mitchell, 2nd 19:49 — CHI 25% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.42M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.26B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.21B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.18W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.15N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.13M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR5 G · 4.3 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCAR
2.83 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI33%67%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 3.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCAR
29
Shots on goal
38
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
24
14
Blocked shots
7
17
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000010.01040—24:33
88P. KaneR123+140.28000—24:18
12A. DeBrincatR011+130.4010010021:24
24P. SuterC000+120.430002920:11
44C. de HaanD000010.02340—18:26
51I. MitchellD101+120.12012—17:49
13M. JanmarkC000-230.332105017:32
16N. ZadorovD000-100.00112—16:48
64D. KampfC011040.200106015:53
8D. KubalikL000-120.14000—15:20
27A. BoqvistD011-100.00012—15:09
22R. CarpenterC000010.272005014:49
34C. SoderbergC101-310.250005414:02
46L. CarlssonD000+130.05000—13:04
23P. KurashevC000-120.24100012:44
17D. StromeC000+100.050126712:20
38B. HagelL000-100.00200—12:19
74N. BeaudinD000-100.00000—09:14
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)37334.8923.89-0.1158:23

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).