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Capitals at Rangers
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 6:32 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.1, NYR 2.9; shots on goal were WSH 32, NYR 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.6 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Igor Shesterkin (30 saves, .938), 3. Kaapo Kakko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Kakko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH212010010232
NYRNYR11006411527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(9)PPG
    N. Backstrom (24), J. Carlson (22)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    2:23
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(7)
    G. Hathaway (8), B. Dillon (9)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:22
  3. NYR
    F. Chytil(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    15:36

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko(5)
    R. Strome (22), A. Panarin (22)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +27 pts
    2-2
    4:10
  2. NYR
    A. Fox(4)
    A. Panarin (23), R. Lindgren (10)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:32
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(9)
    B. Smith (4)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:41
  4. NYR
    P. Buchnevich(14)EN
    R. Lindgren (11)
    wristxG 0.53
    2-5
    19:25

Penalties

WSH 16 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:42NYRKevin Rooney · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 12:29WSHserved by D. Sprong · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:18WSHZdeno Chara · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min

2nd

  • 12:44NYRPhillip Di Giuseppe · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

3rd

  • 18:50NYRBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 19:25WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 19:25WSHTom Wilson · Misconductdrawn by Ryan Lindgren10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Fox, 3rd 6:32 — NYR 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.53A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.21F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.20A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.18C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.17C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.14A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.13K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.12P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.10K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hajek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 2.9 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
3.12 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH62%38%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
27
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-210.11020—23:56
4B. DillonD011030.11110—20:38
9D. OrlovD000-210.01000—20:20
19N. BackstromC011-210.161005320:10
2J. SchultzD000-220.22010—19:20
43T. WilsonR000-220.070012—19:05
77T. OshieR101-130.420008017:31
92E. KuznetsovC000-240.292105617:19
8A. OvechkinL000-220.37200—17:16
3N. JensenD000000.00230—16:14
33Z. CharaD000-110.02102—15:45
73C. ShearyL000-110.19000—15:39
62C. HagelinL000000.01000—13:29
13J. VranaL000-220.16000—13:28
21G. HathawayR011020.07330—12:24
26N. DowdC101020.321006212:14
10D. SprongR000-140.52100—12:00
20L. EllerC000-110.090005010:05
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)26224.8462.38-1.6258:32

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).