Rangers at Capitals 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New York Rangers

Washington Capitals

▸2

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Rangers scored first; the Capitals answered. The Rangers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 16:27 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYR 33, WSH 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Vitek Vanecek stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vitek Vanecek (32 saves, .970), 2. Alex Ovechkin (2 G), 3. Artemi Panarin (1 G).

Three stars

★
V. Vanecek32 saves, .970
★★
A. Ovechkin2 G
★★★
A. Panarin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	18	011	014	133
WSH	05	06	27	218

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

A. Panarin(8)PPG
R. Strome (13), A. Fox (15)
wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
1-0
16:42

3rd period

A. Ovechkin(13)
E. Kuznetsov (10), J. Schultz (12)
wristxG 0.36win prob +36 pts
1-1
13:18
A. Ovechkin(14)
J. Carlson (20), Z. Chara (7)
backhandxG 0.16win prob +40 pts
1-2
16:27

Penalties

4 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

15:21Nicklas Backstrom · Trippingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
17:32Filip Chytil · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

11:36Brendan Lemieux · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
11:36Brenden Dillon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

0:31Brenden Dillon · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
10:46Richard Panik · Holding the stickdrawn by Libor Hajek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: WSH

100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 3rd 16:27 — WSH 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.7 xG · 51 att WSH

2 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.71 G
All situations: 2 G2.0; 1.70 G
Even strength: 2 G2.0; 1.01 G
Power play: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

63%37%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 18; 43%
Faceoffs: 57%; 1/3
Power play: 0/1; 4
Penalty minutes: 8; 23
Hits: 32; 16
Blocked shots: 9; 5
Giveaways: 5; 9
Takeaways: 14

Box score

every player line

New York Rangers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
23A. FoxD	0	1	1	-2	4	0.30	0	1	0	—	26:05
8J. TroubaD	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	2	3	0	—	23:31
79K. MillerD	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	2	0	—	23:21
93M. ZibanejadC	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	0	2	0	38	22:57
10A. PanarinL	1	0	1	0	4	0.33	0	0	0	—	21:59
89P. BuchnevichL	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	1	0	—	21:18
20C. KreiderL	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	4	1	0	—	21:13
16R. StromeC	0	1	1	0	5	0.40	1	0	0	61	20:42
55R. LindgrenD	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	1	0	0	—	17:27
43C. BlackwellC	0	0	0	0	0	0.13	0	0	0	0	13:50
72F. ChytilC	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	1	2	0	13:09
42B. SmithD	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	3	2	0	—	12:58
13A. LafrenièreL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	11:50
24K. KakkoR	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	0	—	11:14
25L. HajekD	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	0	0	—	11:06
21B. HowdenC	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	2	1	0	0	08:16
17K. RooneyC	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	1	0	67	08:01
48B. LemieuxL	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	5	0	2	—	07:50

New York Rangers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40A. Georgiev(L)	18	16	2	.889	1.98	-0.02	59:13

Season series

Tied 4-4

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score