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Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 0:49 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 24, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.5 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G), 2. Josh Leivo (1 G), 3. Matthew Tkachuk.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Leivo1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG072908224
CGYCGY21607210433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Leivo(4)
    S. Monahan (15)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:13
  2. CGY
    M. Giordano(6)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (13), E. Lindholm (22)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    19:14

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Appleton(9)
    A. Copp (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    0:34
  2. WPG
    L. Stanley(1)
    K. Connor (16), N. Thompson (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:19

3rd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(10)
    N. Hanifin (8), C. Tanev (4)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +24 pts
    2-3
    0:49
  2. CGY
    S. Bennett(4)
    J. Nordstrom (1), M. Backlund (13)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    2-4
    7:48

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:45WPGDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Joakim Nordstrom2 min

2nd

  • 2:12WPGNeal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 8:03CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 13:36CGYMilan Lucic · Slashingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 3rd 0:49 — CGY 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.48J. Leivo · Goal · xG 0.24A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.17M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.12J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.10S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.06J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
2.22 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG46%54%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
24
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
15
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-100.00032—24:27
44J. MorrisseyD000000.05200—22:41
55M. ScheifeleC000-210.270107921:50
3T. PoolmanD000010.14100—19:51
26B. WheelerR000-220.24010—19:48
24D. ForbortD000-100.01010—19:48
25P. StastnyC000-210.091002519:37
81K. ConnorL011+140.43000—19:15
27N. EhlersL000040.34000—18:42
9A. CoppC011020.050002516:45
13P. DuboisC000030.204205016:13
22M. AppletonC101010.08110014:52
17A. LowryC000010.066004714:21
2D. DeMeloD000000.00002—13:39
64L. StanleyD101010.08110—11:58
85M. PerreaultC000010.14000009:20
23T. LewisC000+110.01100008:48
11N. ThompsonC011+110.032006708:17
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(L)33294.8792.47-1.5356:19

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).