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Blackhawks at Panthers
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers

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Chicago Blackhawks
2
Florida Panthers
▸4
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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Blackhawks scored first; the Panthers answered. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 11:00 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals were close — CHI 3.2, FLA 3.4; shots on goal were CHI 32, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Anthony Duclair (2 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Duclair2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01411018232
FLAFLA06313116435

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    B. Hagel(2)
    D. Kubalik (12), D. Kampf (7)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:28
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(10)
    A. Duclair (9), M. Weegar (13)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:46
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(10)
    M. Weegar (14), A. Barkov (20)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:00
  4. FLA
    F. Vatrano(10)
    O. Tippett (3), R. Gudas (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    12:19

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(11)
    A. Duclair (10), C. Verhaeghe (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    10:01
  2. CHI
    A. Boqvist(2)
    D. Keith (9), P. Kane (30)
    slapxG 0.04
    2-4
    18:28

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:41CHIDavid Kampf · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 9:24FLAAnton Stralman · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 14:47FLAAnthony Duclair · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

2nd

  • 0:45FLAMason Marchment · Elbowingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 14:39CHIMattias Janmark · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min

3rd

  • 7:30FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 2nd 11:00 — FLA 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.27A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.24A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.24J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.20A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.19N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.17P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.16C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.15O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.11R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lammikko · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsFLA
3.22 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G3.2
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI48%52%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 3.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
35
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
17
9
Blocked shots
5
3
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD011+130.18000—23:03
12A. DeBrincatR000-120.22000—20:27
88P. KaneR011-160.89100—19:59
34C. SoderbergC000-120.142104519:51
5C. MurphyD000-200.00210—19:30
16N. ZadorovD000-130.13200—18:17
8D. KubalikL011+120.35000—17:57
44C. de HaanD000-200.00310—17:40
13M. JanmarkC000-120.19002017:16
27A. BoqvistD101+120.10010—16:55
38B. HagelL101020.35100—16:16
24P. SuterC000-110.081103316:06
51I. MitchellD000-110.01010—15:04
64D. KampfC011010.052123314:47
23P. KurashevC000-240.180101811:57
22R. CarpenterC000010.32000011:34
36M. HighmoreC000-100.00010010:48
71L. WallmarkC000+100.001003609:43
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)35314.8863.37-0.6358:50

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).