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Blackhawks at Panthers
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
4
Florida Panthers
▸5
Final/OTTV FS-F, NBCSCH·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-4 in overtime, Frank Vatrano scoring at 2:50. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 2:50 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were CHI 36, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G), 3. Dominik Kubalik (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI11021411101436
FLAFLA210191813530

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(1)
    A. Barkov (2), A. Duclair (1)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:25
  2. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(2)PPG
    K. Yandle (1), A. Ekblad (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    16:16
  3. CHI
    D. Kubalik(1)PPG
    L. Wallmark (1), D. Keith (3)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    18:40

2nd period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(2)
    A. Duclair (2), A. Wennberg (1)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    2:45
  2. CHI
    D. Kubalik(2)PPG
    D. Keith (4), L. Wallmark (2)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    8:05
  3. CHI
    P. Kane(2)
    C. Murphy (1), N. Zadorov (1)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:10

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kurashev(1)
    D. Kubalik (1), A. Boqvist (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    4-3
    6:06
  2. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(3)PPG
    K. Yandle (2), J. Huberdeau (3)
    slapxG 0.22win prob +24 pts
    4-4
    7:17

Overtime

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(1)
    A. Barkov (3), M. Weegar (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    2:50

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:07CHIDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 16:43FLAAleksander Barkov · Interferencedrawn by Pius Suter2 min

2nd

  • 0:29CHIAndrew Shaw · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 6:53FLARiley Stillman · Holdingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 14:28FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Patrick Kane0 min

3rd

  • 2:31CHIDuncan Keith · High stickingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 6:33CHIRyan Carpenter · Hookingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCHI goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, OT 2:50 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.22F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.21C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.19A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.19M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.16M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.13A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsFLA
2.64 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.82 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI41%59%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsFLA
36
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. MurphyD011030.08340—27:47
16N. ZadorovD011+110.061120—24:03
44C. de HaanD000-100.02230—21:06
2D. KeithD022-110.01012—20:27
88P. KaneR101-170.60000—20:23
13M. JanmarkC000010.12010020:10
12A. DeBrincatR000010.02100—18:00
17D. StromeC000-110.090026017:19
65A. ShawR000-140.353024317:02
71L. WallmarkC022+100.004005016:13
24P. SuterC000010.030006215:12
8D. KubalikL213+180.72000—13:58
51I. MitchellD000-100.00120—13:43
27A. BoqvistD011+110.03000—12:54
64D. KampfC000-110.151005512:39
22R. CarpenterC000050.261125011:58
23P. KurashevC101+110.08000010:48
38B. HagelL000-100.00120—10:05
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(O)30255.8333.10-1.9062:40

Season series

FLA leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).