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Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

Final/OTTV FS-A, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1 in overtime, Gabriel Landeskog scoring at 4:22. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 4:22 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were ARI 14, COL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 13 of 14 (.929).

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI03160500114
COLCOL11801301312246

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:23

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    18:05

Overtime

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    4:22

Penalties

ARI 10 PIM·COL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:10ARIAlex Goligoski · Slashingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 9:15COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 13:28ARINick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

3rd

  • 5:24ARIJohan Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 8:04COLserved by B. Saad · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:59ARIDerick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 14:21ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, OT 4:22 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.25N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.17B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.10M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.08J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.04J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.04P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Renouf · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.9 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
1.41 G
All situations
2 G3.9
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI13%87%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
14
Shots on goal
46
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
6
20
Blocked shots
17
0
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000000.00232—25:30
6J. ChychrunD011000.03012—24:26
17T. PitlickC101+130.36120024:08
18C. DvorakC000000.001105622:00
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-130.05010—20:58
9C. KellerR011+110.36010—19:10
4N. HjalmarssonD000000.00030—18:39
55J. DemersD000010.03200—17:31
67L. CrouseL000010.29000—16:09
8N. SchmaltzC000020.210026015:55
82J. OesterleD000020.04020—15:38
83C. GarlandR000-110.03020—15:23
81P. KesselR000-100.00000—15:17
16D. BrassardC000-100.001026713:06
36C. FischerR000000.0002010013:00
22J. LarssonL000-100.001024712:54
26M. ChaputC000000.002205007:09
91D. CaggiulaL000000.00100—06:01
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(O)46442.9573.87+1.8764:22

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).