Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1 in overtime, Gabriel Landeskog scoring at 4:22. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 4:22 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were ARI 14, COL 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 13 of 14 (.929).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
0-11:23
2nd period
1-118:05
Overtime
1-24:22
Penalties
2nd
- 3:10
Alex Goligoski · Slashingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
- 9:15
Gabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
- 13:28
Nick Schmaltz · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
3rd
- 5:24
Johan Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
- 8:04
served by B. Saad · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 9:59
Derick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
- 14:21
Jakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, OT 4:22 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.41 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.9
- 1.31 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.8
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 3.83
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 14
- Shots on goal
- 46
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 11
- Hits
- 6
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 0
- Giveaways
- 7
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
