Skip to content
Avalanche at Coyotes
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 6-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jacob MacDonald's goal at 17:15 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were COL 41, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Antti Raanta stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joonas Donskoi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G), 3. Ilya Lyubushkin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Donskoi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    I. Lyubushkin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL17120414641
ARIARI0916110225

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(5)
    A. Burakovsky (6), R. Graves (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:16

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(6)
    N. Hjalmarsson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    14:13
  2. COL
    J. MacDonald(1)
    J. Donskoi (6), A. Burakovsky (7)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.08win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    17:15

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (9), S. Girard (10)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    1:58
  2. COL
    J. Donskoi(6)
    V. Nichushkin (2), S. Girard (11)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    12:00
  3. COL
    T. Jost(1)
    M. Rantanen (10)
    wristxG 0.10
    5-1
    13:57
  4. ARI
    J. Larsson(2)
    L. Crouse (2), J. Oesterle (8)
    slapxG 0.02
    5-2
    16:32
  5. COL
    P. Bellemare(1)EN
    J. Compher (2)
    wristxG 0.40
    6-2
    18:09

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:43ARIDryden Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

2nd

  • 5:00COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Hookingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
  • 7:29COLBrandon Saad · Holdingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 10:50ARIserved by P. Kessel · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:52ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Jacob MacDonald, 2nd 17:15 — COL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.32C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.24C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.21C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.17J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.09D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.09M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04M. Chaput · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.04J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.01D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
3.15 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL54%46%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
41
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
33
5
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD022+200.00000—25:05
7D. ToewsD000020.04010—25:00
27R. GravesD011+330.06310—21:49
29N. MacKinnonC101+170.390003619:59
96M. RantanenR022+130.33000—19:50
92G. LandeskogL101030.461005018:21
4B. ByramD000000.02200—18:05
91N. KadriC000-210.090006016:18
20B. SaadL000-130.1700210015:04
17T. JostC101+150.2310010014:44
37J. CompherL011+310.080106314:30
34J. MacDonaldD101+130.10100—14:25
41P. BellemareL101+220.422127313:07
72J. DonskoiR112+220.26000—13:01
95A. BurakovskyL022+120.05010—12:32
25L. O'ConnorR000010.11400—12:11
2D. RenoufD000010.05300—11:20
13V. NichushkinR011+120.21200—10:55
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)25232.9202.45+0.4559:44

Season series

COL leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).