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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

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Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Florida Panthers
2
Final/OTTV NHLN, FS-CR·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Martin Necas scoring at 1:59. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 1:59 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were CAR 31, FLA 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Chris Driedger stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Alex Nedeljkovic (44 saves, .957), 3. Chris Driedger (28 saves, .903).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Nedeljkovic44 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Driedger28 saves, .903

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR112091911331
FLAFLA01101122301246

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. Pesce(3)PPG
    J. Bean (6), M. Necas (10)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    13:35

3rd period

  1. FLA
    F. Vatrano(7)
    A. Barkov (14), C. Verhaeghe (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    4:40
  2. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(3)
    M. Marchment (3)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +40 pts
    1-2
    16:51
  3. CAR
    V. Trocheck(11)
    N. Niederreiter (4), M. Necas (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    18:27

Overtime

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(3)
    S. Aho (12), D. Hamilton (12)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:59

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:23FLAPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:43CARSteven Lorentz · Hookingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min

2nd

  • 5:09FLAPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 10:01FLANoel Acciari · Boardingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
  • 11:54CARJesper Fast · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 15:29CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 15:29FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 16:01CARDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, OT 1:59 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.40P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.19J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.18A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.16M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.16E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.16E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.15A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.12J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
1.53 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.02 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR15%85%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
46
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
13
0
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+120.05140—25:41
19D. HamiltonD011+230.11312—23:42
16V. TrocheckC101030.100103822:55
22B. PesceD101-140.13000—22:39
76B. SkjeiD000-110.09200—22:04
37A. SvechnikovR000030.22202—20:44
11J. StaalC000010.033105319:23
20S. AhoC011+140.201006717:14
71J. FastR000010.011122016:57
21N. NiederreiterR011-110.07300—15:23
24J. BeanD011-110.01000—14:17
23B. McGinnL000-100.00110—14:04
48J. MartinookL000-110.0100010013:16
13W. FoegeleL000020.1700010012:54
88M. NecasC123+230.300105011:58
4H. FleuryD000-110.02100—11:00
78S. LorentzC000000.000028007:07
18C. PaquetteC000000.01200007:04
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)46442.9573.84+1.8461:34

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).