Boston Bruins at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 5:30 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 56% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 30, NYI 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Leo Komarov (2 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Pageau2 G

- ★★J. Eberle1 G, 1 A

- ★★★L. Komarov2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-08:41
1-111:36
1-215:16
2nd period
2-216:51
3rd period
2-35:30
2-414:32
Penalties
2nd
- 7:47
Adam Pelech · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
3rd
- 4:09
David Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
- 13:37
Jordan Eberle · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 3rd 5:30 — 56% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.42 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.7
- 1.72 G
- Even strength
- 2 G3.0
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 3.60
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 63%
- Faceoffs
- 37%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 27
- Hits
- 36
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 14
- Giveaways
- 11
- 2
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 5-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
