Bruins at Islanders 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Boston Bruins

New York Islanders

▸1

FinalTV NBCSN, MSG+·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Boston Bruins 1-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 15:51 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were BOS 27, NYI 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G), 3. Tuukka Rask (16 saves, .941).

Three stars

★
S. Varlamov27 saves, 1.000
★★
J. Pageau1 G
★★★
T. Rask16 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
BOS	011	06	010	027
NYI	03	07	17	117

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

J. Pageau(1)
A. Pelech (1), R. Pulock (1)
wristxG 0.13win prob +39 pts
0-1
15:51

Penalties

12 PIM·

8 PIM

1st

7:25Brandon Carlo · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
16:40Casey Cizikas · Interferencedrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

2nd

0:53Adam Pelech · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
1:43Nick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
6:53served by J. Eberle · Too many men on the ice2 min
15:45Craig Smith · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Semyon Varlamov2 min

3rd

1:17Brad Marchand · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
5:43Jordan Eberle · Trippingdrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
5:43Matt Grzelcyk · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
16:07Charlie McAvoy · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYI

100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, 3rd 15:51 — NYI 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.1 xG · 27 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att NYI

1 G · 2.1 xG · 27 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.50 G
All situations: 1 G2.1; 1.50 G
Even strength: 1 G1.0; 0.90 G
Power play: 0 G0.8; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

63%37%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

27
Shots on goal: 17; 49%
Faceoffs: 51%; 0/3
Power play: 0/5; 12
Penalty minutes: 8; 26
Hits: 31; 12
Blocked shots: 17; 10
Giveaways: 9; 2
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Boston Bruins skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
73C. McAvoyD	-1	2	0.06	0	1	2	—	25:18
55J. LauzonD	-1	1	0.01	7	2	0	—	22:58
25B. CarloD	0	1	0.05	1	1	2	—	19:35
63B. MarchandL	-1	5	0.45	0	0	2	—	19:21
67J. ZborilD	0	0	0.03	2	2	0	—	18:14
86K. MillerD	0	1	0.07	5	1	0	—	17:28
37P. BergeronC	-1	2	0.41	0	0	0	58	17:05
46D. KrejciC	0	2	0.27	0	1	0	33	17:04
74J. DeBruskL	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	—	15:10
13C. CoyleC	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	10	15:09
21N. RitchieL	0	6	0.54	2	0	2	—	15:02
52S. KuralyC	0	2	0.29	1	2	0	71	14:50
23J. StudnickaC	0	0	0.03	0	1	0	0	13:52
48M. GrzelcykD	0	1	0.02	0	1	2	—	13:25
14C. WagnerR	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	100	13:17
12C. SmithC	0	1	0.10	1	0	2	100	12:46
11T. FredericC	0	0	0.03	2	0	0	0	10:30
10A. BjorkL	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	09:43

Boston Bruins goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40T. Rask(L)	17	16	1	.941	1.79	+0.79	58:25

Season series

NYI leads 5-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score