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Senators at Oilers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, SNOL·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Puljujarvi's goal at 12:45 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 25, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 2.3 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Jesse Puljujarvi (2 G), 2. Tyson Barrie (2 A), 3. Evan Bouchard (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Puljujarvi2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    T. Barrie2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0419112225
EDMEDM31011005425

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(3)
    T. Barrie (7), C. McDavid (15)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:42
  2. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(1)
    C. McDavid (16), T. Barrie (8)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:45
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(7)
    K. Yamamoto (4)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    14:29

2nd period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(2)
    E. Bouchard (1), K. Russell (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    5:30
  2. OTT
    C. Paquette(1)
    T. Chabot (3), A. Watson (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    12:06

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(3)
    D. Stepan (2), A. Zub (2)
    snapxG 0.13
    2-4
    19:31

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:32EDMKris Russell · High stickingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 18:38EDMKailer Yamamoto · High stickingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

2nd

  • 2:42EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 7:39OTTArtem Zub · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:08OTTDerek Stepan · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

3rd

  • 0:59EDMKailer Yamamoto · Trippingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 10:28EDMKyle Turris · Slashingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalOTT goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Jesse Puljujarvi, 1st 12:45 — EDM 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.29J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.28L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08G. Haas · Missed · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.00E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 1.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsEDM
2.12 G
All situations
4 G1.7
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT59%41%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
31
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
20
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011+120.04410—28:03
28C. BrownR000-120.03100—20:30
7B. TkachukL000030.266005020:28
55B. CoburnD000-310.04320—18:26
22N. ZaitsevD000+120.08050—18:23
44E. GudbransonD000-200.02220—17:31
15D. StepanC011020.032225016:10
19D. BathersonR000010.35210—16:10
36C. WhiteC000-110.270106315:54
5M. ReillyD000-120.04000—15:48
71C. TierneyC000010.010006015:32
63E. DadonovL000020.22010—15:14
18T. StützleC101020.22010015:08
9J. NorrisC000-100.000005614:06
13N. PaulL000030.340005013:34
16A. WatsonL011-100.00440—13:06
2A. ZubD011000.06202—12:24
23C. PaquetteC101-210.115001709:39
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Hogberg(L)25214.8401.70-2.3059:54

Season series

EDM leads 9-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).