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St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-MW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the St. Louis Blues 6-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Antoine Roussel's goal at 2:09 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were STL 36, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.7 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Motte (2 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (34 saves, .944), 3. Jaden Schwartz (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Motte2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL012011213236
VANVAN1133824625

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:45

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    2:09
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:49
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(3)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    8:06

3rd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    6:32
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.21
    1-5
    13:19
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.10
    2-5
    18:38
  4. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22
    2-6
    19:10

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:08VANTyler Motte · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 18:22VANJay Beagle · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

2nd

  • 7:05STLOskar Sundqvist · Slashingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

3rd

  • 1:46STLMackenzie MacEachern · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSTL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Antoine Roussel, 2nd 2:09 — VAN 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.31J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.25A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.23T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.22T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.21E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.19E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.19T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Beagle · Goal · xG 0.14B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.13T. Stecher · Goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.10J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.07Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Virtanen · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 3.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVAN
3.22 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL52%48%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVAN
36
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
28
23
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011-130.11000—25:54
10B. SchennC000030.313003024:20
90R. O'ReillyC011040.370006223:18
57D. PerronL011030.30110—23:15
17J. SchwartzL202030.31100—23:04
72J. FaulkD000-320.14430—22:30
6M. ScandellaD000-110.01100—21:48
55C. ParaykoD000060.43320—20:34
18R. ThomasC000-140.340007520:00
12Z. SanfordL000-110.20200—19:51
49I. BarbashevL000-110.06210—15:23
29V. DunnD011010.01130—15:10
9S. BlaisL000-110.26300—12:04
61J. de la RoseL000-110.144002210:07
70O. SundqvistC000-110.083023309:16
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00100—07:09
28M. MacEachernL000-100.01302—04:12
33J. KyrouR000-110.09000—03:50
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)18144.7782.28-1.7228:06
34J. Allen651.8330.75-0.2527:08

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).