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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSN, FS-MW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Canucks came back from two goals down. The Canucks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Motte's goal at 18:17 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals were close — VAN 3.4, STL 3.2; shots on goal were VAN 30, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Jake Allen stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Motte (2 G), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jacob Markstrom (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Motte2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11131306430
STLSTL21211809339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Motte(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:15
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    15:41
  3. STL
    S. Blais (3), V. Dunn (2)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:31

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    5:51
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    11:54
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    16:08
  4. VAN
    snapxG 0.17win prob +23 pts
    4-3
    18:17

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:10STLJake Allen · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 12:58VANChris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 4:34VANBrandon Sutter · High stickingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

3rd

  • 2:30STLIvan Barbashev · Elbowingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 12:28STLSammy Blais · High stickingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Motte, 2nd 18:17 — VAN 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.35T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.24D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.20B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.19D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.17R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.14V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.12S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.05J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01
STL3 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
3.44 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN44%56%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
39
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
38
Hits
42
15
Blocked shots
26
10
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000050.13010—26:43
8C. TanevD000000.00332—24:34
53B. HorvatC000-130.191205421:13
9J. MillerC112+161.13310020:17
40E. PetterssonC022+210.12010020:10
6B. BoeserR000-110.16210—18:42
4J. BennD000+120.00210—17:20
70T. PearsonL000020.05300—17:15
51T. StecherD011+210.12310—17:15
21L. ErikssonL000010.02110—16:36
5O. FantenbergD000000.05000—16:03
64T. MotteC202+130.66300014:39
83J. BeagleC000+210.544003013:32
23A. EdlerD000+120.04310—13:04
18J. VirtanenR112+210.06200—12:25
20B. SutterC011010.071025011:47
26A. RousselL000000.00400—07:46
88A. GaudetteR000-100.0032010007:22
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)39363.9233.17+0.1760:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).