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Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBCSN, WCAU·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 4:26 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were PHI 17, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Carey Price stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (31 saves, .939), 2. Nick Suzuki (2 G), 3. Ivan Provorov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI261605317
MTLMTL110110013233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:28
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:23
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(3)PPG
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    10:03

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:26
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    6:05

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:15MTLBen Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 9:19PHIPhilippe Myers · Holdingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 12:50MTLJeff Petry · High stickingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min
  • 14:53MTLShea Weber · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 1:35PHIClaude Giroux · Slashingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 13:21MTLMax Domi · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPHI goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 2nd 4:26 — PHI 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.14X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.14T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.13J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.13P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.10P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.09X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01X. Ouellet · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMTL
1.53 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI35%65%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMTL
17
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101+110.01220—24:39
5P. MyersD000+110.01612—23:47
6T. SanheimD011000.00220—22:03
14S. CouturierC000020.140106521:27
93J. VoracekR011+110.01110—18:44
11T. KonecnyR000+100.16010—17:08
13K. HayesR112+310.051002516:41
28C. GirouxR000-120.150025916:20
53S. GostisbehereD000+210.11220—16:12
49J. FarabeeL000+100.00100—15:42
61J. BraunD000-110.00160—15:34
12M. RafflL101+110.06500—13:43
25J. van RiemsdykL000-110.13000—13:29
8R. HaggD000+100.02020—13:29
38D. GrantC011+120.150103312:22
44N. ThompsonC000000.001103312:15
18T. PitlickC011+110.07210012:00
21S. LaughtonC000-120.4710010011:41
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)33312.9392.26+0.2660:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).