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Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSN, NBCSP·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 10:59 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.7, PHI 2.8; shots on goal were MTL 33, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carey Price stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Carter Hart stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Armia (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Voracek (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Armia2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. Voracek2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL110211212533
PHIPHI01227110329

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    2:53

2nd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    1-1
    2:35
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:37
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:12
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    3-2
    11:30

3rd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    10:37
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.28win prob +34 pts
    4-3
    10:59
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.51win prob +6 pts
    5-3
    19:42

Penalties

MTL 33 PIM·PHI 34 PIM

1st

  • 1:28MTLBen Chiarot · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hart2 min
  • 9:59MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 10:39PHIJakub Voracek · High sticking double minordrawn by Nick Suzuki4 min
  • 19:07PHIJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min

2nd

  • 1:45MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · Boardingdrawn by Travis Sanheim5 min
  • 1:45MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · Game misconduct10 min
  • 10:53PHIPhilippe Myers · High sticking double minordrawn by Jake Evans4 min

3rd

  • 6:34MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 10:23MTLJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 14:37PHIJakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:42PHIJakub Voracek · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:42MTLShea Weber · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:42PHISean Couturier · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:42PHISean Couturier · Cross checkingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMTL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 3rd 10:59 — MTL 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.26K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.20J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.17M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.14J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.12S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.08J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bunnaman · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.06J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPHI
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.41 G
Power play
3 G1.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL38%62%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPHI
33
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/7
Power play
3/7
33
Penalty minutes
34
39
Hits
28
23
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000+110.06322—26:35
6S. WeberD000+130.101610—26:11
8B. ChiarotD000+130.31232—22:42
24P. DanaultC101+130.614105519:03
14N. SuzukiC112+230.332302018:36
11B. GallagherR101030.273025018:02
77B. KulakD022+220.08120—17:51
90T. TatarL000030.13410—17:23
40J. ArmiaR202+440.37110—17:03
92J. DrouinL022+210.01400—16:19
62A. LehkonenL011+120.06212—15:25
13M. DomiC000020.151004314:09
41P. ByronL000+100.002003313:12
61X. OuelletD011+200.04210—13:11
53V. MeteD000+110.00120—11:42
71J. EvansC000010.070004509:45
54C. HudonL000000.04200—05:43
15J. KotkaniemiC000010.0540155005:40
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)29263.8972.82-0.1859:50

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).