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Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
0
FinalTV CNBC, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 19:59 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 34, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dillon Dube (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    C. Talbot31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Bennett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Dube1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2801927434
WPGWPG01108012031

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(1)
    E. Gustafsson (3), S. Monahan (4)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:21
  2. CGY
    S. Bennett(2)
    N. Hanifin (2), M. Tkachuk (1)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:59

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(2)EN
    T. Rieder (1), D. Ryan (1)
    wristxG 0.83win prob +2 pts
    3-0
    16:59
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(1)EN
    M. Lucic (3), S. Bennett (1)
    wristxG 0.47
    4-0
    17:18

Penalties

CGY 9 PIM·WPG 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:02WPGNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 0:02CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min

2nd

  • 3:54WPGJansen Harkins · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

3rd

  • 1:26WPGDmitry Kulikov · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:20WPGDmitry Kulikov · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 6:49CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 11:07CGYTJ Brodie · Trippingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 1st 19:59 — CGY 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.18J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.17K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG0 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
4.42 G
All situations
0 G2.5
2.72 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY58%42%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
34
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
30
Hits
37
21
Blocked shots
18
24
Giveaways
19
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000+130.07050—23:41
7T. BrodieD000+100.05032—21:36
4R. AnderssonD101+230.49022—20:46
20D. ForbortD000+230.02210—19:45
28E. LindholmC000000.002307119:20
11M. BacklundC000000.312004818:32
88A. MangiapaneL000+100.00200—17:19
23S. MonahanC112+230.992004716:34
55N. HanifinD011+130.05220—16:34
13J. GaudreauL000010.00010—16:19
17M. LucicL011+130.393056316:14
19M. TkachukL011+100.00210—15:58
29D. DubeC101+271.12100015:08
56E. GustafssonD011+130.16010—13:18
93S. BennettC112+320.17800013:07
10D. RyanC011+120.221004311:40
16T. RiederL011+110.15210—10:07
77M. JankowskiL000000.161101410:04
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)313101.0002.50+2.5059:58

Series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).