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Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸6
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV NHL.TV, NHLN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-2. The Jets scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 5:37 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 32, WPG 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (33 saves, .943), 2. Sean Monahan (1 G, 2 A), 3. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    C. Talbot33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11831024632
WPGWPG113112010235

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(2)
    D. Kulikov (2), N. Beaulieu (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:04
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(2)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (2), S. Monahan (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    10:22

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Backlund(2)
    A. Mangiapane (2)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    5:37
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(1)PPG
    E. Lindholm (1), J. Gaudreau (1)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    7:49
  3. WPG
    A. Copp(2)PPG
    B. Wheeler (1), N. Pionk (2)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    8:09
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(1)
    A. Mangiapane (3), M. Backlund (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    12:48

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Lucic(1)PPG
    D. Dube (1), M. Giordano (1)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    8:28
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(2)EN
    S. Monahan (3)
    wristxG 0.59
    6-2
    17:41

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:13WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 11:24CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

2nd

  • 1:54WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 7:05WPGJansen Harkins · Hookingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 8:00CGYMilan Lucic · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

3rd

  • 6:57WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 5:37 — CGY 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.19M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 1.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
3.25 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.23 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY68%32%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
35
41%
Faceoffs
59%
3/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000+100.08030—21:50
5M. GiordanoD011020.07140—21:46
7T. BrodieD000000.00030—20:32
55N. HanifinD000+130.10120—19:00
19M. TkachukL101+240.42000—18:43
11M. BacklundC112+250.372024118:32
28E. LindholmC112+120.18110018:19
13J. GaudreauL112+150.88000—17:57
23S. MonahanC123+120.171005717:52
88A. MangiapaneL022+220.21000—17:43
56E. GustafssonD011+110.03000—16:49
20D. ForbortD000+110.01020—15:35
29D. DubeC011010.07400015:07
17M. LucicL101010.533025014:24
93S. BennettC000020.075002912:53
10D. RyanC000-100.001101710:52
77M. JankowskiL000-100.042106710:05
16T. RiederL000-110.01010—09:54
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)35332.9431.66-0.3459:58

Series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).