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Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olli Maatta's goal at 15:13 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 27% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were CHI 26, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 2.1 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3 A), 3. Slater Koekkoek (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins3 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    S. Koekkoek1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1921007326
EDMEDM2172929635

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.23win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:19
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    4:05
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.28win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    9:06

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:44
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    4:22
  3. CHI
    K. Dach (3), P. Kane (2)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:13
  4. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-4
    17:10

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    3-5
    7:25
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    3-6
    8:05

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:51CHIDuncan Keith · Slashingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 5:11CHIOlli Maatta · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 7:37EDMZack Kassian · Holdingdrawn by Duncan Keith2 min
  • 9:35EDMRiley Sheahan · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 11:56EDMMatt Benning · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 16:25CHIKirby Dach · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 19:00EDMJujhar Khaira · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

3rd

  • 14:23CHIConnor Murphy · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 16:18CHIDuncan Keith · High stickingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCHI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Olli Maatta, 2nd 15:13 — CHI 27% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.34T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.30C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.23R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.20J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.18J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.18A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.14J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.14K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.13K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.13J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.13A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.12T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.08J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.07O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.07T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.01O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM6 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsEDM
2.03 G
All situations
6 G3.9
1.63 G
Even strength
5 G2.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI21%79%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsEDM
26
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
22
14
Giveaways
19
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD000-310.03124—25:09
88P. KaneR112050.62010—22:42
5C. MurphyD000-100.00112—20:39
19J. ToewsC000-130.380105019:49
44C. de HaanD000-120.01120—19:13
77K. DachC022+310.133121318:35
68S. KoekkoekD112+220.09020—17:58
8D. KubalikL000-110.15000—17:38
20B. SaadL000-100.00010—17:05
6O. MaattaD101+220.04112—15:39
22R. CarpenterC000-120.100103314:26
12A. DeBrincatR022+300.00100—13:57
27A. BoqvistD000-330.24100—13:55
17D. StromeC000-400.000005413:05
64D. KampfC000030.050002512:29
36M. HighmoreC000-100.00010011:41
92A. NylanderL000-310.06000—11:14
47J. QuennevilleC000000.10100006:04
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)35296.8293.91-2.0959:57

Series

CHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).