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Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-4. The Oilers scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Blackhawks led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 9:17 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were CHI 42, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.0 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dominik Kubalik (2 G, 3 A), 2. Jonathan Toews (2 G, 1 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Kubalik2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Toews2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI416216010642
EDMEDM1811229429

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    2:34
  2. CHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.33win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:51
  3. CHI
    J. Toews(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    2-1
    7:56
  4. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    9:17
  5. CHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    4-1
    12:57

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    4:13
  2. CHI
    D. Keith (1), K. Dach (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    5-2
    6:32
  3. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    17:35

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Neal(1)PPG
    backhandxG 0.14
    6-3
    16:07
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    6-4
    16:43

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·EDM 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:27CHIserved by D. Strome · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:57EDMMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 16:00EDMConnor McDavid · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min

2nd

  • 3:09CHIOlli Maatta · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 6:27EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter2 min
  • 7:42EDMTyler Ennis · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:43EDMTyler Ennis · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 18:51CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

3rd

  • 9:58EDMKailer Yamamoto · Hookingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 15:40CHIDavid Kampf · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCHI goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, 1st 9:17 — CHI 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.48L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.16J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.15D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.11A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.09J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.09T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.06J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.06K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.02J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 3.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsEDM
4.26 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.63 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI61%39%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsEDM
42
Shots on goal
29
47%
Faceoffs
53%
3/6
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
33
Hits
47
15
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. KeithD022+110.01020—22:24
88P. KaneR011+171.35002—21:47
5C. MurphyD000040.09410—21:34
44C. de HaanD000000.01410—21:00
77K. DachC011000.000102919:09
19J. ToewsC213+140.410006417:02
6O. MaattaD011+100.00232—17:02
92A. NylanderL000+120.26110—16:07
17D. StromeC101+130.500103015:48
68S. KoekkoekD000+100.00310—15:43
20B. SaadL112+150.37100—14:55
64D. KampfC000010.075026714:52
27A. BoqvistD000+130.18010—14:39
8D. KubalikL235+150.55000—13:56
22R. CarpenterC000010.016002013:33
12A. DeBrincatR000050.31110—13:18
91D. CaggiulaL000000.054105011:25
36M. HighmoreC000010.06210011:08
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(W)29254.8623.02-0.9860:00

Series

CHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).