Skip to content
Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 2:22 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.1, CAR 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 24, CAR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.8 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.1 goals saved above expected.

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1701007124
CARCAR16212116434

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:32
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:05

2nd period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    1:11
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:22

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (4)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    14:02

Penalties

NYR 22 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:16NYRPavel Buchnevich · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 10:11CARHaydn Fleury · Interferencedrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
  • 10:49CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 15:49CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

2nd

  • 1:08NYRBrendan Smith · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 20:00CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 20:00NYRPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

3rd

  • 4:24CARJustin Williams · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 14:16CARJordan Martinook · Roughingdrawn by Tony DeAngelo2 min
  • 14:16NYRTony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 14:16NYRTony DeAngelo · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:16NYRTony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 18:39NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 2:22 — CAR 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.24A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.22J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.09B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.06M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.11 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR47%53%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
34
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/4
22
Penalty minutes
12
37
Hits
33
11
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000-120.03500—24:34
10A. PanarinL101-110.19200—21:36
23A. FoxD000030.08110—21:35
93M. ZibanejadC000030.423105220:57
55R. LindgrenD000-110.01100—19:51
16R. StromeC011-200.061004019:20
77T. DeAngeloD011-210.032214—18:22
42B. SmithD000010.10332—17:58
20C. KreiderL000-120.162125017:45
24K. KakkoR000-210.01000—17:35
89P. BuchnevichL000030.57004—17:10
21B. HowdenC000-120.265003314:44
72F. ChytilC000-110.090005014:04
18M. StaalD000-210.00210—13:15
33P. Di GiuseppeL000-110.00200—10:54
14G. McKeggC000010.0420010009:27
29S. FogartyC000000.00210007:07
12J. GauthierR000000.00410—06:22
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)34304.8822.19-1.8160:00

Series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).