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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV NBCSN, NHL.TV·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mika Zibanejad's goal at 14:26 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 12% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYR 26, CAR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jaccob Slavin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mika Zibanejad (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0411517226
CARCAR112111114337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:01

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(1)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:29
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    14:26

3rd period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    10:51
  2. NYR
    M. Staal(1)SHG
    slapxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    2-3
    18:05

Penalties

NYR 21 PIM·CAR 21 PIM

1st

  • 2:02NYRBrett Howden · Holding the stickdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 2:48NYRRyan Strome · Fightingdrawn by Justin Williams5 min
  • 2:48CARJustin Williams · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Strome5 min
  • 2:48CARSami Vatanen · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 4:42CARJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 4:42NYRPavel Buchnevich · Interferencedrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 8:27CARBrock McGinn · Slashingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 14:33NYRChris Kreider · High stickingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 19:54CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

2nd

  • 3:28CARVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min
  • 6:14NYRBrett Howden · Slashingdrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min
  • 7:44CARHaydn Fleury · Holdingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 9:06NYRAdam Fox · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 11:14CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 15:13CARSami Vatanen · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 18:47NYRRyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min

3rd

  • 8:45NYRGreg McKegg · Boardingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 16:58NYRTony DeAngelo · Interferencedrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad, 2nd 14:26 — NYR 12% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.20S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.14S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.12J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.09J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR31%69%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/7
Power play
1/7
21
Penalty minutes
21
40
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC112+140.291204325:08
10A. PanarinL011040.37100—20:35
55R. LindgrenD011+100.00110—20:34
23A. FoxD000+210.01112—19:53
8J. TroubaD000-100.00310—19:45
77T. DeAngeloD000020.04112—19:23
20C. KreiderL011+110.306025018:19
21B. HowdenC000-100.009247517:08
89P. BuchnevichL000+110.04112—17:07
16R. StromeC000-130.140175017:05
18M. StaalD101020.03420—16:21
72F. ChytilC000000.212002716:16
42B. SmithD000-210.03410—15:58
24K. KakkoR000050.35020—15:21
12J. GauthierR000020.20200—11:41
14G. McKeggC000-100.001025010:21
33P. Di GiuseppeL000000.00300—06:02
17J. FastR000-100.00000—01:04
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)37343.9193.12+0.1259:09

Series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).