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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Detroit Red Wings
2
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Williams's goal at 1:38 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 36, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Jonathan Bernier stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Gardiner (3 A), 3. Tyler Bertuzzi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Gardiner3 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR112110314536
DETDET1131804225

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Geekie(3)
    W. Foegele (17), J. Gardiner (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:58
  2. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(21)
    A. Mantha (22), F. Hronek (22)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:28

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(11)PPG
    J. Gardiner (19), V. Trocheck (27)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    9:30
  2. DET
    C. Ehn(2)
    M. Bowey (14), D. Helm (7)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:26

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Williams(8)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (37), S. Aho (28)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    1:38
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(37)SHG
    T. Teravainen (47)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +20 pts
    4-2
    4:23
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(38)PPG
    J. Gardiner (20), T. Teravainen (48)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:58

Penalties

CAR 26 PIM·DET 24 PIM

1st

  • 10:27CARBrock McGinn · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Ericsson2 min

2nd

  • 7:41DETJonathan Ericsson · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 12:05CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Ericsson2 min
  • 17:57CARNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Lindstrom2 min
  • 19:03DETAnthony Mantha · Interferencedrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 19:03CARJordan Staal · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 19:03DETTyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 0:35DETDarren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 3:38CARMartin Necas · Boardingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 7:24CARBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Dmytro Timashov2 min
  • 15:53DETAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 15:53CARJordan Staal · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 17:00DETRobby Fabbri · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Petr Mrazek2 min
  • 17:00DETRobby Fabbri · Roughingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
  • 17:00CARHaydn Fleury · Roughingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 17:00CARVincent Trocheck · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:00DETTyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Williams, 3rd 1:38 — CAR 52% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.11A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.09C. Ehn · Goal · xG 0.09A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.05F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04D. Timashov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.03D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02T. Daley · On goal · xG 0.02J. Ericsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.00A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 1.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.95 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
1.53 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR73%27%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
36
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
3/4
Power play
0/5
26
Penalty minutes
24
13
Hits
10
6
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
18
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+130.01110—27:09
6J. EdmundsonD000010.09020—22:28
86T. TeravainenC022030.09100018:55
76B. SkjeiD000-220.04102—18:44
20S. AhoC213030.442104818:38
37A. SvechnikovR011-130.48210—16:37
57T. van RiemsdykD000+220.03000—16:23
11J. StaalC000000.130046316:15
4H. FleuryD000-110.01212—16:11
23B. McGinnL000010.08002—14:46
16V. TrocheckC011020.1510103114:11
51J. GardinerD033030.08000—13:44
43M. GeekieC101020.100007513:12
21N. NiederreiterR101040.37002—12:58
14J. WilliamsR101020.36100—12:10
48J. MartinookL000020.1900210012:06
13W. FoegeleL011000.00100—11:56
88M. NecasC000020.20102011:41
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)25232.9201.60-0.4059:56

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).