Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 10:37 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were CAR 36, DET 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. James Reimer stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Jimmy Howard (34 saves, .971), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals2nd period
1-010:37
3rd period
2-018:47
Penalties
1st
- 14:33
Dylan Larkin · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
2nd
- 5:53
Valtteri Filppula · Interferencedrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
3rd
- 17:33
Nino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 10:37 — 47% → 66%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.4
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.1
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 1.44
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 19
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 14
- Hits
- 25
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 10
- Giveaways
- 25
- 3
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
