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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 10:37 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were CAR 36, DET 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. James Reimer stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James Reimer (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Jimmy Howard (34 saves, .971), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Reimer19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR012111113236
DETDET0110503019

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(12)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:37

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho (8)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    18:47

Penalties

CAR 2 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:33DETDylan Larkin · High stickingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

2nd

  • 5:53DETValtteri Filppula · Interferencedrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min

3rd

  • 17:33CARNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 10:37 — CAR 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.27T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.13D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.12V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.07B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.05B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.01A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00
DET0 G · 1.4 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
2.61 G
All situations
0 G1.4
1.61 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR59%41%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 1.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
36
Shots on goal
19
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
25
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD000+130.16220—22:32
74J. SlavinD000+110.02010—21:02
22B. PesceD000+110.01120—20:48
6J. EdmundsonD000+120.05010—20:21
20S. AhoC112+250.501105718:12
86T. TeravainenC112+260.89000018:01
37A. SvechnikovR011+140.11310—17:14
71L. WallmarkC000000.051004316:55
88M. NecasC000020.16100016:53
21N. NiederreiterR000000.00002—16:39
23B. McGinnL000010.04110—15:53
51J. GardinerD000020.12100—15:51
11J. StaalC000010.180004415:21
57T. van RiemsdykD000030.05000—15:05
13W. FoegeleL000020.04200—12:54
18R. DzingelC000000.00000012:02
43E. LuostarinenC000020.140005711:47
48J. MartinookL000010.09110—10:30
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)191901.0001.44+1.4460:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).