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Avalanche at Canucks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
Vancouver Canucks
▸6
FinalTV ESPN+, ALT·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-3. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Antoine Roussel's goal at 12:17 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were COL 32, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.6 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zack MacEwen (2 G), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Z. MacEwen2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1182509332
VANVAN2721028625

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Stecher(5)
    J. Miller (44), A. Edler (26)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:22
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(27)
    E. Pettersson (38), T. Toffoli (19)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:29
  3. COL
    E. Johnson(3)
    N. MacKinnon (55), G. Landeskog (19)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:17

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Z. MacEwen(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:12
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(20)
    N. MacKinnon (56), E. Johnson (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:23
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(13)
    M. Nieto (13)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    8:04
  4. VAN
    A. Roussel(7)
    A. Gaudette (20), O. Fantenberg (4)
    deflectedxG 0.26win prob +19 pts
    3-4
    12:17

3rd period

  1. VAN
    Z. MacEwen(4)PPG
    A. Roussel (6), A. Gaudette (21)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +8 pts
    3-5
    16:43
  2. VAN
    T. Pearson(21)EN
    L. Eriksson (7), C. Tanev (18)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    17:24

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:40VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare2 min

2nd

  • 15:16VANTyler Myers · Boardingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 15:16COLErik Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 17:39COLMatt Nieto · Hookingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min

3rd

  • 1:38COLErik Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 3:26COLVladislav Namestnikov · Holdingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 6:33VANAlexander Edler · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 10:42COLVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 10:42VANChris Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 19:36VANZack MacEwen · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCOL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Antoine Roussel, 2nd 12:17 — VAN 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.51A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.26T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.23Z. MacEwen · Goal · xG 0.23J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.21Z. MacEwen · Goal · xG 0.12J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.12B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.10A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.09A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Stecher · Goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.05A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.04A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN6 G · 2.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVAN
4.23 G
All situations
5 G2.9
2.73 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL67%33%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.43 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVAN
32
Shots on goal
25
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
24
19
Blocked shots
22
7
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. GravesD000-120.53340—24:19
49S. GirardD000010.09130—23:39
6E. JohnsonD112030.23324—22:55
29N. MacKinnonC022+140.541004421:58
92G. LandeskogL112030.283005020:35
37J. CompherL000-310.070201119:29
7K. ConnautonD000020.13030—18:50
17T. JostC000-331.01200018:22
13V. NichushkinR101-120.28100—17:25
44M. BarberioD000-120.08020—16:20
90V. NamestnikovC000+200.00114016:16
41P. BellemareL000-120.120004815:37
83M. NietoL011010.27002—14:43
72J. DonskoiR000-300.05010—14:21
28I. ColeD000-310.05110—08:46
81V. KamenevC000-120.281003306:26
25L. O'ConnorR000-130.18200—06:19
15S. DriesC000-100.0700010003:56
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(L)24195.7922.38-2.6259:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).