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Avalanche at Canucks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Vancouver Canucks
4
Final/OTTV ALT, CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-4 in overtime, Nathan MacKinnon scoring at 0:27. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 0:27 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 23, VAN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Antoine Bibeau stopped 28 of 32 (.875); Thatcher Demko stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Gaudette (2 G), 3. Cale Makar (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    A. Gaudette2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL18281611523
VANVAN1511121600432

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Bellemare(4)
    E. Johnson (4), N. Zadorov (3)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:56
  2. VAN
    A. Gaudette(3)PPG
    J. Leivo (8), A. Edler (10)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    18:27

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(12)PPG
    C. Makar (14), A. Burakovsky (8)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    7:51
  2. COL
    N. Kadri(7)
    C. Makar (15), J. Compher (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    11:28
  3. VAN
    A. Gaudette(4)PPG
    S. Baertschi (2), T. Pearson (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    19:58

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Burakovsky(8)
    N. MacKinnon (16), C. Makar (16)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    6:09
  2. VAN
    A. Edler(4)
    Q. Hughes (11), J. Miller (12)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    4-3
    17:23
  3. VAN
    B. Boeser(9)
    E. Pettersson (17), Q. Hughes (12)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +44 pts
    4-4
    19:00

Overtime

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(13)
    C. Makar (17), J. Compher (8)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    0:27

Penalties

COL 14 PIM·VAN 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:35COLRyan Graves · Holdingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 3:31VANChris Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 4:35VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 10:05COLMatt Calvert · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 18:07COLRyan Graves · Hookingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min

2nd

  • 6:48VANSven Baertschi · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:53VANAlexander Edler · Holdingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 13:17COLNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 15:29VANAdam Gaudette · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 18:52COLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

3rd

  • 3:03COLNikita Zadorov · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 13:13COLJoonas Donskoi · Holding the stickdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 13:13VANElias Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCOL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, OT 0:27 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.25A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.21S. Baertschi · Missed · xG 0.18J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.18A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.16A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.16E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.16A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.15A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12A. Edler · Goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06T. Schaller · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.04J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.03J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 3.6 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVAN
2.15 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL26%74%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVAN
23
Shots on goal
32
36%
Faceoffs
64%
1/5
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
12
10
Hits
16
24
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD011-130.17260—25:03
29N. MacKinnonC213+140.391001324:41
8C. MakarD044+300.00030—22:54
72J. DonskoiR000-130.39002—20:48
37J. CompherL022+220.400305019:58
49S. GirardD000+110.01020—19:06
95A. BurakovskyL112+220.25000—18:20
91N. KadriC101+120.120023018:10
28I. ColeD000-200.00032—17:04
16N. ZadorovD011+100.00012—16:07
13V. NichushkinR000010.10110—15:56
83M. NietoL000000.00110—15:26
41P. BellemareL101010.071006714:13
11M. CalvertL000-100.00112—14:07
27R. GravesD000+110.02024—12:39
81V. KamenevC000010.080005005:54
36T. TynanC000010.08000005:01
12J. MegnaC000+110.03310004:34
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Bibeau(W)32284.8753.63-0.3760:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).