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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 0:32 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were VGK 29, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Patrik Laine (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathieu Perreault (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Laine1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Perreault1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01201106029
WPGWPG3131605424

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine (34), C. Eakin (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:32
  2. WPG
    P. Laine(27)PPG
    N. Pionk (38), B. Wheeler (41)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    4:41
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:10

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:00

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:06VGKNick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min
  • 10:25WPGBlake Wheeler · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min

2nd

  • 12:15VGKJonathan Marchessault · Hookingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 1st 0:32 — WPG 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.18M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.16P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.13M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.10N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.10C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG4 G · 2.3 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
2.90 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK60%40%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
29
Shots on goal
24
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000020.07000—23:57
23A. MartinezD000000.04120—22:36
88N. SchmidtD000-140.32010—21:26
3B. McNabbD000-120.07320—21:04
71W. KarlssonC000-110.222004019:35
67M. PaciorettyL000-120.23000—17:42
81J. MarchessaultR000020.16002—17:14
10N. RoyC000-150.711006417:10
19R. SmithR000020.11110—15:57
26P. StastnyC000030.240005015:52
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.02010—15:18
20C. StephensonC000020.210005014:08
22N. HoldenD000-100.01310—13:55
92T. NosekL000-110.120104513:50
21N. CousinsC000000.00212012:58
28W. CarrierL000-110.07100—11:45
75R. ReavesR000-100.00210—11:42
73B. PirriC000020.28310011:34
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)24204.8332.27-1.7359:57

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).