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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, ATTSN-RM·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 3:22. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 3:22 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 39, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Malcolm Subban stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nate Schmidt (1 G), 3. William Karlsson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    N. Schmidt1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG1901021614439
VGKVGK310080602326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Perreault(3)
    G. Bourque (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:19
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(3)PPG
    S. Theodore (5), W. Karlsson (9)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    4:51
  3. VGK
    M. Pacioretty(3)
    M. Stone (10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:00
  4. VGK
    N. Schmidt(1)
    W. Karlsson (10)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    8:30

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Perreault(4)PPG
    K. Connor (5), J. Morrissey (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    10:02
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(5)
    K. Connor (6)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:17

Overtime

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(5)
    P. Laine (11), N. Pionk (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:22

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·VGK 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:35WPGPatrik Laine · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:35VGKJon Merrill · Holding the stickdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 7:52WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

2nd

  • 2:14WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 2:14VGKRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 11:24WPGDmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 19:07VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min

3rd

  • 4:43VGKNick Holden · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 9:47VGKMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 3:22 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.22J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.20R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.13W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.13P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.11M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.08C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.07R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK3 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
3.44 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG60%40%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
39
Shots on goal
26
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/4
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
34
Hits
27
11
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011+120.03510—29:24
44J. MorrisseyD011-230.33120—25:43
7D. KulikovD000+130.06112—23:15
55M. ScheifeleC101020.561002922:32
81K. ConnorL123+120.28010—22:26
26B. WheelerR000+120.303025020:27
29P. LaineL011070.5310210019:32
27N. EhlersL000050.19000—19:03
18B. LittleC000000.000105017:21
5L. SbisaD000+100.02620—17:19
2A. BitettoD000+230.09620—16:42
9A. CoppC000020.3700010013:31
28J. RoslovicC000000.00200013:07
85M. PerreaultC202030.32300012:26
17A. LowryC000030.172052311:50
19D. GustafssonC000010.121105008:03
3T. PoolmanD000-200.00100—06:41
57G. BourqueL011+110.02100—06:28
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30L. Brossoit(W)26233.8852.82-0.1863:22

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).