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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Galchenyuk's goal at 11:30 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were MIN 27, SJS 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Stalock (40 saves, .952), 2. Ryan Suter (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Parise (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    A. Stalock40 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Suter1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    Z. Parise1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11221203327
SJSSJS11408120242

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman (11), M. Koivu (17)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:34
  2. SJS
    S. Noesen(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    14:40

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise (20), R. Suter (39)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:30
  2. MIN
    L. Kunin (15), K. Fiala (31)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    14:48

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    9:08

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:02MINBrad Hunt · Hookingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

2nd

  • 8:39MINGreg Pateryn · High stickingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

3rd

  • 3:59MINMathew Dumba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:29SJSKevin Labanc · Hookingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Galchenyuk, 2nd 11:30 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.17M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.15L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.11J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.11S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.07J. Thornton · Goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.07S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kellman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Heed · Missed · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Thornton · Missed · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02A. Suomela · On goal · xG 0.02R. Simek · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kellman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Heed · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kellman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.8 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
1.83 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN33%67%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
27
Shots on goal
42
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD112+210.03030—25:51
25J. BrodinD000+120.03020—23:28
46J. SpurgeonD000+200.00200—22:54
24M. DumbaD000+110.06222—21:04
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.000006018:24
18J. GreenwayL000010.02110—16:41
19L. KuninC011+100.011002716:28
11Z. PariseL112+250.600005016:17
9M. KoivuC011020.061206015:24
22K. FialaL011+230.18010—14:48
29G. PaterynD000-100.02122—14:42
38R. HartmanR011030.131005014:13
17M. FolignoL000020.01710—13:36
27A. GalchenyukC101+110.161006713:01
26G. MayhewC000010.20230012:39
77B. HuntD000-130.06012—12:23
36M. ZuccarelloR000000.00000—11:37
6R. DonatoC000020.26400010:52
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)42402.9522.76+0.7660:00

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).