Sharks at Wild 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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San Jose Sharks

▸2

Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Minnesota Wild 2-0. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Gambrell's goal at 3:08 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.0, MIN 1.9; shots on goal were SJS 21, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 39 of 39 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Alex Stalock stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Martin Jones (39 saves, 1.000), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek, 3. Jonas Brodin.

Three stars

★
M. Jones39 saves, 1.000
★★
J. Eriksson Ek
★★★
J. Brodin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	08	06	27	221
MIN	010	014	015	039

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

D. Gambrell(3)
B. Burns (27), A. Suomela (4)
deflectedxG 0.06win prob +26 pts
1-0
3:08
M. Karlsson(5)EN
B. Goodrow (16), M. Vlasic (8)
wristxG 0.80win prob +6 pts
2-0
19:45

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

1st

1:57Mario Ferraro · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
6:05Kevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
6:13Carson Soucy · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
16:28Marcus Foligno · High stickingdrawn by Radim Simek2 min

2nd

1:28Kevin Labanc · Illegal stick2 min

3rd

12:58Antti Suomela · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

Biggest swing: Dylan Gambrell, 3rd 3:08 — SJS 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.9 xG · 52 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att MIN

0 G · 1.9 xG · 52 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.01 G
All situations: 0 G1.9; 0.91 G
Even strength: 0 G1.6; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

36%64%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.21 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

21
Shots on goal: 39; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/3
Power play: 0/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 12
Hits: 18; 20
Blocked shots: 12; 3
Giveaways: 3; 5
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

San Jose Sharks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
88B. BurnsD	0	1	1	+2	3	0.23	1	4	0	—	27:12
44M. VlasicD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	3	3	0	—	21:32
51R. SimekD	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	3	0	—	21:03
4B. DillonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	2	2	0	—	20:53
23B. GoodrowC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	0	41	20:52
68M. KarlssonC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.80	0	0	0	0	17:42
28T. MeierR	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	—	17:21
19J. ThorntonC	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	0	0	72	16:55
12P. MarleauC	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	1	0	0	0	16:21
11S. NoesenR	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	—	15:48
62K. LabancR	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	2	—	15:24
46J. KellmanC	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	1	0	29	15:12
20M. SorensenL	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	14:50
72T. HeedD	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	—	14:08
38M. FerraroD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	—	12:17
7D. GambrellC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	0	1	0	57	10:34
40A. SuomelaC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	2	0	08:23
70A. TrueC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	1	0	0	0	07:33

San Jose Sharks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31M. Jones(W)	39	39	0	1.000	1.87	+1.87	60:00

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Nov 75@6Final
Feb 152@0this game
Mar 53@2Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score