Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Provorov's goal at 18:23 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were CAR 29, PHI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (2 A), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G), 3. Nicolas Aube-Kubel (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Laughton2 A

- ★★I. Provorov1 G

- ★★★N. Aube-Kubel1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-118:23
2nd period
0-29:34
3rd period
1-22:55
1-34:28
1-44:54
Penalties
2nd
- 2:00
Joel Edmundson · Holding the stickdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
- 7:16
Jordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ivan Provorov, 1st 18:23 — 53% → 68%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.0
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.8
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 29
- Hits
- 26
- 3
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
PHI leads 3-1
1@
4Final
5@
3Final
4@
5OTFinal
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
