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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
3
FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSP·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-3. The Flyers came back from two goals down. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 11:16 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.9, CAR 3.1; shots on goal were PHI 23, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Petr Mrazek stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (2 G, 2 A), 2. Morgan Frost (1 G, 1 A), 3. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Giroux2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Frost1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2111428523
CARCAR27019110336

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(11)
    T. Teravainen (15), B. Pesce (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:23
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(6)PPG
    A. Svechnikov (14), R. Dzingel (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    4:43
  3. PHI
    C. Giroux(6)
    T. Konecny (13), P. Myers (3)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    6:31
  4. PHI
    I. Provorov(5)PPG
    C. Giroux (9), T. Konecny (14)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    13:14

2nd period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(2)SHG
    C. Giroux (10)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    3-2
    2:51

3rd period

  1. CAR
    L. Wallmark(3)
    B. McGinn (4), J. Edmundson (5)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:24
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(7)
    M. Frost (1), T. Konecny (15)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +34 pts
    4-3
    11:16
  3. PHI
    K. Hayes(5)EN
    M. Raffl (4)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +6 pts
    5-3
    19:54

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·CAR 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:54PHIJakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 5:13CARserved by R. Dzingel · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 6:19PHIJakub Voracek · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 12:19CARJoel Edmundson · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 12:19CARJoel Edmundson · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 0:57PHITravis Konecny · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 5:08PHIClaude Giroux · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 19:41CARNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min

3rd

  • 11:37PHIJoel Farabee · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 3rd 11:16 — PHI 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Wallmark · Goal · xG 0.20T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.15S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.14B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01
CAR3 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
2.94 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI40%60%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
36
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
16
17
Hits
6
13
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101+210.04030—26:27
15M. NiskanenD000+120.04120—21:57
14S. CouturierC000000.000006018:57
23O. LindblomL000020.21020—18:23
11T. KonecnyR033040.42002—18:12
28C. GirouxR224+130.770026317:53
61J. BraunD000+100.00200—17:47
6T. SanheimD000000.00000—17:18
13K. HayesR101+110.441202716:54
93J. VoracekR000000.01004—16:31
48M. FrostC112030.44010015:55
25J. van RiemsdykL000030.37000—13:57
5P. MyersD011010.04320—13:23
12M. RafflL011+100.00200—13:16
18T. PitlickC000+110.03400012:22
49J. FarabeeL000010.10202—11:39
53S. GostisbehereD000010.03000—10:57
8R. HaggD000000.00210—08:58
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)36333.9173.14+0.1459:52

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).