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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
3
Final/OTTV NBCSN·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in overtime, Rickard Rakell scoring at 4:58. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 4:58 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 30, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 2 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA2101501015430
COLCOL213071807335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    V. Namestnikov(15)
    N. MacKinnon (54), G. Landeskog (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:51
  2. ANA
    A. Agozzino(1)
    C. Rowney (9), M. Irwin (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:34
  3. ANA
    B. Guhle(4)
    J. Silfverberg (17), R. Rakell (23)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    2-1
    13:40
  4. COL
    G. Landeskog(19)PPG
    S. Girard (30), T. Jost (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    14:29

2nd period

  1. ANA
    S. Steel(6)
    R. Getzlaf (28)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    12:48

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(34)PPG
    G. Landeskog (18), T. Jost (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    7:19

Overtime

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:58

Penalties

ANA 15 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 10:40ANANicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare5 min
  • 10:40COLPierre-Edouard Bellemare · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 14:02ANAKiefer Sherwood · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:02ANAKiefer Sherwood · Slashingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

2nd

  • 10:48COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

3rd

  • 4:13COLJoonas Donskoi · Holdingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min
  • 6:41ANASonny Milano · High stickingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 9:38COLVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 9:38ANARyan Getzlaf · Roughingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 11:40COLMark Barberio · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 11:40ANAMax Jones · Roughingdrawn by Mark Barberio2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, OT 4:58 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.22G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.21V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.19V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.18S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12M. Kaut · On goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.11T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.08P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.08E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.06M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
1.94 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA22%78%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
2/3
15
Penalty minutes
13
33
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
1
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. IrwinD011+120.05460—27:42
29C. DjoosD000+100.00020—25:52
44M. Del ZottoD000020.05710—24:49
33J. SilfverbergR011+130.14010—20:25
14A. HenriqueC000010.011004719:19
67R. RakellR112+150.39100—19:05
15R. GetzlafC011+210.082323918:52
22S. MilanoL000+110.11112—18:16
43D. HeinenL000030.11000—18:15
32J. LarssonD000010.00030—16:51
28J. HakanpääD000010.02400—15:08
34S. SteelC101+120.140003814:28
49M. JonesL000+110.15202—14:14
24C. RowneyC011+110.072205014:00
64K. SherwoodL000020.33404—11:27
2B. GuhleD101+230.05210—10:55
26A. AgozzinoL101+110.162003309:23
20N. DeslauriersL000000.01105—08:48
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)35323.9143.61+0.6164:58

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).