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Avalanche at Ducks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸1
Anaheim Ducks
0
FinalTV PRIME, ALT2·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 1-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 16:38 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were COL 29, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (28 saves, .966), 2. Andre Burakovsky, 3. Pavel Francouz (26 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Burakovsky
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Francouz26 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01011405129
ANAANA01005011026

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(9)
    M. Kaut (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    16:38

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:29COLRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 17:23ANANick Ritchie · Elbowingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

3rd

  • 8:31COLserved by V. Kamenev · Interference bench2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 16:38 — COL 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.08S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.02B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA0 G · 1.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
2.41 G
All situations
0 G1.5
2.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL68%32%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 1.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
29
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
21
10
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000020.24100—23:05
6E. JohnsonD000020.05310—21:36
29N. MacKinnonC000060.431004320:56
28I. ColeD000010.04030—20:50
92G. LandeskogL000020.314005420:06
37J. CompherL101+120.190104118:41
49S. GirardD000+110.12110—18:15
27R. GravesD000010.06112—17:50
95A. BurakovskyL000030.31000—17:46
16N. ZadorovD000+100.04500—16:13
72J. DonskoiR000020.16100—16:04
83M. NietoL000+100.00000—15:31
41P. BellemareL000010.030104515:00
13V. NichushkinR000010.06400—14:52
17T. JostC000020.120104013:28
61M. KautR011+110.01300—10:33
81V. KamenevC000010.18300007:55
15S. DriesC000010.051005007:04
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)262601.0001.49+1.4960:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).