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Flyers at Capitals
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV NBCSN, TVAS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Capitals scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 14:48 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 29, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Braden Holtby stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ivan Provorov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Derek Grant (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    K. Hayes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    I. Provorov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Grant2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0731824529
WSHWSH1718012227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    L. Eller(16)
    R. Panik (10), C. Hagelin (16)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:09

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(24)PPG
    I. Provorov (23), C. Giroux (31)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    7:06
  2. PHI
    K. Hayes(23)
    D. Grant (8), N. Aube-Kubel (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    14:48
  3. PHI
    T. Pitlick(8)
    M. Raffl (12), D. Grant (9)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    17:05
  4. WSH
    G. Hathaway(8)
    T. Wilson (22), N. Dowd (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    18:32

3rd period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(12)
    J. Voracek (41)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    6:36
  2. PHI
    S. Laughton(13)
    K. Hayes (18)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    14:15

Penalties

PHI 20 PIM·WSH 20 PIM

1st

  • 1:08PHIScott Laughton · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 11:55PHIJustin Braun · Holdingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 17:05WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min
  • 17:05WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Nate Thompson5 min
  • 17:05PHINate Thompson · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 18:37PHIKevin Hayes · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

2nd

  • 1:17WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 3:46WSHserved by J. Vrana · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:34WSHGarnet Hathaway · High stickingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 12:42WSHBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 19:45PHIRobert Hagg · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 19:45WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Robert Hagg5 min

3rd

  • 3:15PHIMichael Raffl · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 15:49PHIScott Laughton · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 2nd 14:48 — PHI 49% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.20G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.16G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.16L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.13T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.13J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01
WSH2 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
3.15 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.94 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI55%45%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
0/5
20
Penalty minutes
20
30
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD112+120.19220—26:16
15M. NiskanenD000+200.00020—22:06
6T. SanheimD000+200.01220—21:31
14S. CouturierC000+120.142005921:21
28C. GirouxR011+140.580001718:01
93J. VoracekR011+120.19000—17:58
13K. HayesR112+250.830027517:36
5P. MyersD000+130.10100—16:49
21S. LaughtonC101020.023243316:35
38D. GrantC022010.154003015:40
11T. KonecnyR101-120.27010—15:07
61J. BraunD000-110.06012—14:27
12M. RafflL011020.09212—14:20
8R. HaggD000-100.00315—13:02
62N. Aube-KubelR011+120.17300—12:55
18T. PitlickC101+110.19310012:06
44N. ThompsonC000000.114153312:06
25J. van RiemsdykL000000.00110—02:04
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)27252.9262.69+0.6960:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).