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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 7-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Raffl's goal at 2:45 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 26, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Braden Holtby stopped 18 of 25 (.720), 4.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G, 2 A), 3. Brian Elliott (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    B. Elliott25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI193938726
WSHWSH1110917227

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    15:22
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(20)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    18:18

2nd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    2:45
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:59
  3. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    4:30

3rd period

  1. PHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    2:58
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.09
    6-1
    5:47
  3. PHI
    C. Giroux(14)PPG
    snapxG 0.24
    7-1
    8:02
  4. WSH
    wristxG 0.12
    7-2
    12:17

Penalties

PHI 15 PIM·WSH 17 PIM

1st

  • 15:13WSHJonas Siegenthaler · Hookingdrawn by Connor Bunnaman2 min
  • 17:49PHIBrian Elliott · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 7:48PHISean Couturier · Embellishmentdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 10:52PHIJakub Voracek · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 10:52WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 11:55PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 15:58PHITravis Sanheim · Slashingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 19:53WSHRichard Panik · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

3rd

  • 3:31WSHRichard Panik · Hookingdrawn by Robert Hagg2 min
  • 6:17WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 7:00WSHGarnet Hathaway · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 11:00PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Leipsic5 min
  • 11:00WSHBrendan Leipsic · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Raffl, 2nd 2:45 — PHI 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.17N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.12L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.12J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.10C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.10R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.07L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.04R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
2.47 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.95 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI58%42%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
27
73%
Faceoffs
27%
2/5
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
17
21
Hits
28
11
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
17
12
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+120.07210—24:12
15M. NiskanenD011020.05220—19:58
6T. SanheimD000+120.02002—19:50
14S. CouturierC213+250.341027819:19
93J. VoracekR022+100.09002—18:31
61J. BraunD011+200.01000—18:09
13K. HayesR000030.470029017:54
28C. GirouxR123+210.240005817:21
5P. MyersD000+230.08210—17:11
8R. HaggD000+200.11140—17:08
21S. LaughtonC000-110.032007516:25
11T. KonecnyR112+130.21100—16:16
48M. FrostC000000.080109013:06
25J. van RiemsdykL101+210.07100—12:52
18T. PitlickC011010.21410012:22
12M. RafflL101+110.18010—11:49
82C. BunnamanC000+200.002004410:57
62N. Aube-KubelR112+210.15305—08:11
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)27252.9262.000.0060:00

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).