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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Minnesota Wild
▸3
FinalTV FS-N+, FS-TN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 12:04 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 38, MIN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Alex Stalock stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Stalock (37 saves, .974), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH06015117138
MINMIN212010111333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    L. Kunin(14)
    J. Eriksson Ek (21)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:07
  2. MIN
    K. Fiala(21)
    R. Suter (38)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:04

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise(24)
    E. Staal (28), K. Fiala (30)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    1:38
  2. NSH
    C. Smith(18)PPG
    F. Forsberg (26), R. Josi (46)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    5:07

Penalties

NSH 14 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

2nd

  • 3:19NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 5:00NSHserved by Y. Trenin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:43MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 14:54NSHCraig Smith · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 18:21MINJordan Greenway · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Juuse Saros2 min
  • 19:03MINRyan Hartman · Slashingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 19:27NSHMikael Granlund · Holdingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

3rd

  • 4:53MINAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 9:10NSHRyan Ellis · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 12:26NSHYannick Weber · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 14:59NSHMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Koivu2 min
  • 17:40MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 1st 12:04 — MIN 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.19A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.18Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.16R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.15J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.14L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.14R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.13M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.09A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
2.81 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.51 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH36%64%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
38
Shots on goal
33
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/5
Power play
0/7
14
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
23
23
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011060.24420—27:16
4R. EllisD000-130.30212—26:43
14M. EkholmD000-210.04000—22:27
64M. GranlundC000-220.520445720:25
8K. TurrisC000-240.170006718:25
57D. FabbroD000-200.05112—18:19
13N. BoninoC000030.180506916:59
95M. DucheneC000-100.000006116:55
24J. TinordiD000-100.00240—15:29
9F. ForsbergL011-110.05020—15:21
15C. SmithC101080.712025015:06
19C. JarnkrokC000010.22000014:45
10C. SissonsC000-100.063105613:06
33V. ArvidssonL000040.08000—12:14
23R. GrimaldiR000030.09000—11:04
7Y. WeberD000010.01222—09:28
32Y. TreninC000-100.00010006:45
51A. WatsonL000-110.07300—06:41
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)33303.9093.44+0.4457:42

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).