Skip to content
Senators at Penguins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 7-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jayce Hawryluk's goal at 16:24 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 18% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 26, PIT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 28 of 35 (.800), 4.3 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (3 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Evgeni Malkin (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust3 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1801028326
PITPIT31019316735

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    J. Marino(6)
    E. Malkin (43), J. Zucker (18)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:48
  2. PIT
    C. Sheary(10)
    B. Dumoulin (7), K. Letang (28)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    1:39
  3. OTT
    J. Hawryluk(2)
    M. Reilly (14), C. White (12)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:24
  4. PIT
    B. Rust(25)PPG
    E. Malkin (44), S. Crosby (29)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    19:15

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(14)
    J. Zucker (19)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    17:21

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(20)
    C. Sheary (11), S. Crosby (30)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    0:36
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(19)
    N. Zaitsev (10), C. White (13)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    1:09
  3. OTT
    C. Brown(15)
    T. Chabot (31)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    3-5
    11:27
  4. PIT
    B. Rust(26)
    P. Marleau (11), E. Malkin (45)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    3-6
    13:29
  5. PIT
    B. Rust(27)
    E. Malkin (46)
    snapxG 0.12
    3-7
    17:10

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:25PITJack Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 13:18OTTBobby Ryan · Holding the stickdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 18:10OTTNikita Zaitsev · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 5:56OTTChris Tierney · High sticking double minordrawn by Sidney Crosby4 min
  • 11:16PITSam Lafferty · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min

3rd

  • 5:50PITConor Sheary · Hookingdrawn by Jayce Hawryluk2 min
  • 6:32OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 9:23PITBrian Dumoulin · Hookingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jayce Hawryluk, 1st 16:24 — OTT 18% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.16S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.15P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.14C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.13P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.12P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.09S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.06K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.04S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lafferty · Missed · xG 0.03A. Angello · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
1.73 G
All situations
7 G2.7
1.33 G
Even strength
6 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT31%69%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
34
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
81R. HainseyD000-130.03300—24:45
72T. ChabotD011010.07112—24:43
22N. ZaitsevD011-300.00322—24:03
28C. BrownR101-210.072003320:02
7B. TkachukL101050.291005019:07
36C. WhiteC022+110.082107318:42
71C. TierneyC000-220.212346118:33
53M. PecaC000-100.114004817:50
5M. ReillyD011-210.06200—17:21
9B. RyanR000020.15202—17:03
38R. BalcersL000-310.11020—14:37
13N. PaulL000-120.182102014:06
89M. BoedkerL000010.07000—13:23
79J. HawrylukR101-130.181005012:42
83C. JarosD000010.00110—12:11
39A. EnglundD000020.03420—11:48
49S. SabourinR000+100.02300—09:39
51A. AnisimovC000-100.0010010000:32
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)35287.8002.74-4.2659:48

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).