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Senators at Penguins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 16:51 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.0, PIT 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 26, PIT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 3.1 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 2 A), 3. Patric Hornqvist (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0421408226
PITPIT21521018533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(10)
    J. Guentzel (22), J. Johnson (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:27
  2. PIT
    D. Simon(4)
    J. Blandisi (3), P. Hornqvist (6)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:44

2nd period

  1. OTT
    N. Paul(5)
    C. Jaros (1), S. Sabourin (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:21
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(11)
    B. Rust (15), J. Guentzel (23)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:02
  3. OTT
    N. Paul(6)
    C. Brown (18), T. Chabot (20)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    15:58
  4. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(7)
    J. Marino (14), J. McCann (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    16:51

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(20)
    E. Malkin (27), B. Rust (16)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    6:55

Penalties

OTT 26 PIM·PIT 18 PIM

1st

  • 7:16OTTScott Sabourin · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 7:16PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by J.C. Beaudin2 min

2nd

  • 13:11PITJoseph Blandisi · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

3rd

  • 13:51PITBryan Rust · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 19:40OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 19:40OTTBrady Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:40OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 19:40PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:40PITBryan Rust · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:40OTTMark Borowiecki · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalOTT goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 2nd 16:51 — PIT 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.33B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.15J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.10D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.07D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.06D. Simon · Goal · xG 0.06P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01J. Blandisi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.00J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 1.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPIT
2.02 G
All situations
5 G1.9
1.82 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT51%49%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPIT
26
Shots on goal
33
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/1
26
Penalty minutes
18
55
Hits
34
17
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-240.33210—28:10
29C. GoloubefD000-210.01400—24:23
51A. AnisimovC000-100.030004318:49
36C. WhiteC000-110.041005618:45
10A. DuclairL000-120.0532010018:22
74M. BorowieckiD000000.006110—18:20
28C. BrownR011-240.24210—17:39
26E. BrannstromD000-120.19030—17:18
44J. PageauC000-240.285225217:12
90V. NamestnikovC000000.0070010017:06
63T. EnnisR000-110.07100—16:56
7B. TkachukL000-310.1751124016:06
83C. JarosD011010.00510—14:42
39A. EnglundD000-100.00500—13:49
13N. PaulL202+120.544007513:20
71C. TierneyC000-110.012204312:08
64J. BeaudinC000+110.022105007:27
49S. SabourinR011+110.06122—07:08
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Hogberg(L)33285.8481.93-3.0760:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).