Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 6-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jeff Petry's goal at 15:43 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.4, NYI 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 27, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Carey Price stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Armia (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (2 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Armia1 G, 1 A

- ★★★P. Danault2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-013:31
2-015:43
3-018:34
2nd period
4-012:35
3rd period
4-16:14
5-115:28
5-216:21
6-217:10
Penalties
1st
- 16:16
Anders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Christian Folin5 min
- 16:16
Christian Folin · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min
2nd
- 11:35
Max Domi · Trippingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
- 17:33
Xavier Ouellet · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
3rd
- 15:44
Ben Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
- 15:55
Artturi Lehkonen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jeff Petry, 1st 15:43 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.45 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 1.64 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.9
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.52
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 1/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 5
- 34
- Hits
- 32
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 14
- Giveaways
- 14
- 7
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-0
2@
4Final
6@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
