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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 13:30 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 23, MTL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.5 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Shea Weber (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Weber1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Danault1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0706210223
MTLMTL112113215440

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(7)
    B. Gallagher (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:59

2nd period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(11)
    S. Weber (14), P. Danault (14)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    13:30

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Petry(3)
    N. Suzuki (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    2:12
  2. NYI
    S. Mayfield(4)
    J. Eberle (6), R. Pulock (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    2:53
  3. NYI
    M. Barzal(11)
    N. Leddy (9), J. Bailey (11)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    2-3
    17:31
  4. MTL
    S. Weber(9)EN
    N. Thompson (7)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:32

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:26MTLGustav Olofsson · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

2nd

  • 16:49MTLJeff Petry · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 18:54MTLCarey Price · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 12:59NYIAdam Pelech · Holding the stickdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 12:59MTLJoel Armia · Slashingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 2nd 13:30 — MTL 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.63N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.20B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.17B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.14P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.10M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.10B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.09P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07M. Peca · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02G. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.1 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
1.82 G
All situations
3 G3.1
0.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI38%62%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
23
Shots on goal
40
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
23
19
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. ToewsD000-100.00010—23:23
13M. BarzalC101-110.110005623:11
6R. PulockD011-120.08020—21:02
2N. LeddyD011000.00030—20:24
12J. BaileyR011-110.091004019:28
29B. NelsonC000-150.530105919:27
24S. MayfieldD101030.02110—18:47
18A. BeauvillierR000-100.00230—18:27
7J. EberleR011+110.07000—17:49
27A. LeeL000-210.25010—17:35
3A. PelechD000-210.04212—16:59
55J. BoychukD000010.00110—16:04
10D. BrassardC000-130.1451010015:10
28M. Dal ColleL000000.08500—13:58
17M. MartinL000010.06810—12:58
53C. CizikasC000010.243107012:24
47L. KomarovR000010.005008009:58
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.09010—02:02
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)39363.9232.49-0.5158:15
40S. Varlamov000—0.000.0000:39

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).