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Avalanche at Red Wings
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸2
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV NHLN, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 14:31 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — COL 1.8, DET 1.8; shots on goal were COL 27, DET 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Michael Hutchinson stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (1 A), 2. Anthony Mantha (1 G), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Mantha1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1141706227
DETDET140608118

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(15)
    D. Larkin (31), A. Biega (3)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:48
  2. COL
    V. Namestnikov(14)
    R. Graves (17), V. Nichushkin (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:50

2nd period

  1. COL
    L. O'Connor(2)
    G. Landeskog (16), N. MacKinnon (53)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:31

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·DET 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:16DETGustav Lindstrom · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 10:17DETTrevor Daley · Interferencedrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

2nd

  • 3:52COLMark Barberio · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 5:38COLRyan Graves · High stickingdrawn by Sam Gagner2 min
  • 19:11DETFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 19:29COLTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

3rd

  • 7:37DETTrevor Daley · Holdingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 14:14COLserved by V. Kamenev · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCOL goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 2nd 14:31 — COL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.19A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.17A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.10V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.10S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.09A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.04G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.03A. Biega · On goal · xG 0.03J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.02T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01T. Daley · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01
DET1 G · 1.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsDET
1.82 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL51%49%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsDET
27
Shots on goal
18
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
32
18
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000+100.03150—22:56
29N. MacKinnonC011+150.240002522:55
37J. CompherL000000.000303621:43
49S. GirardD000000.03200—21:10
92G. LandeskogL011+110.131105020:55
27R. GravesD011030.06012—20:08
28I. ColeD000-130.19020—17:53
17T. JostC000020.180023317:32
83M. NietoL000020.26210—16:40
16N. ZadorovD000+100.00200—16:25
90V. NamestnikovC101+110.2311010015:52
72J. DonskoiR000020.09000—15:46
13V. NichushkinR011+120.17100—14:20
44M. BarberioD000+130.05112—14:00
41P. BellemareL000-100.021206410:49
61M. KautR000+110.03100—09:51
25L. O'ConnorR101010.15010—06:12
81V. KamenevC000-110.01000005:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Hutchinson(W)18171.9441.80+0.8060:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).